TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under51c77,233$39,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,116.3213248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c53,201$25,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,932.511,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c38,967$19,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,271.192,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c17,822$9,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,717.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c9,501$4,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,537.123,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under50c7,783$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,891.6874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c2,896$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.652,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under54c2,763$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.761,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over49c2,260$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.651753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c2,001$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c1,692$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under52c1,442$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.3165339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over50c1,384$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.181,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c1,258$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.714,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb1…cc29backed Over46c1,050$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4862356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f40…92b2backed Under54c910$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.92445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45051146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8650347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over44c859.35$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.733,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over47c665.72$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.6416036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7552…72cfbacked Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2942142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over52c567.11$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.2452052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under48c520.82$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8353149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Over49c407.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84df…e3b8backed Under51c390$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.11963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over47c372.55$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.134654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ba…b202backed Under55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under52c350$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16859144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under52c326.71$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7162347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under53c297.68$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.892,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4624556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…5a74backed Over51c273.8$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.647554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Under51c266.67$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.674042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over50c260$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13050241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.820353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under51c179.15$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.442,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2555533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6223948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236d…5e45backed Over53c131.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Under51c115.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.834445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over46c111.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3362541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ca9…a291backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under47c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5335739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under51c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.518552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under51c87.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.662,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under51c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1662349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under51c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under51c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1631754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under52c84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3223153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.558,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over51c69.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6966143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under51c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3434053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under51c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3434254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0880653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under55c63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.357448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.47142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.473445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.433147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Under55c43.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.675156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over52c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.362,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under51c40.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.887647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.628852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.631551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under42c39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6231947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over47c38.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9559141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6220456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6436651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6415051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under51c35.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3193849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6623753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6627350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6622048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6632649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6623850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6627251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6631852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6439756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under44c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.321,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.725250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab7…180ebacked Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.15251.9%27 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.727353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.727150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over46c26.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2350948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over49c25.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.491,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1388845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7624552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7614648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7645251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.