TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe082…04bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT4852.1%25 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)backed Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.79
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102.29
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$83.99
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.25
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$50.44
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$51.21
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$55.03
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.25
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.52
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Solary (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Verdant vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winnerbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.93
LoL: Misa Esports vs French Flair - Game 2 Winnerbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+563.2%+$115.37
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.23
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$55
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$55
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+96.1%+$54.26
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$55
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$94.11
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60.16
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.28
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.14
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$92.57
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.39
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.08
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.26
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$37.39
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.83
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.07
Spread: Hornets (-17.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.63
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.78
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$140.91
Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$132.59
Suns vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$67.81
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$132.97
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$137.99
76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$132.59
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$40.75
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$130.67
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$99.63
Spread: Magic (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$136.01
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.77
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.25
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$88.04
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.41
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$63.56
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$65.24
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$97.43
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.2
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+344.7%+$65.73
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$36.86
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$76.36
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+296.8%+$148.4
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$69.13
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.22
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.31
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$39.79
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.51
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.63
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.53
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$57.66
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$43.61
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$99.65
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35.97
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$110.58
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$102.93
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.2%+$84.39
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+116.3%+$94.21
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.24
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$66.18
Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+127.3%+$114.61
Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-59%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$99.61
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$245.97
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+53.8%+$54.78
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$112.69
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$34.2
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$44.94
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$118.78
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick42cpaid-73%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.3
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.63
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54
PSV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45.31
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+170.3%+$86.41
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$47
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.21
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$78.32
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.42
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.85
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$51.69
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.24
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.7
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderibacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.47
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.4
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$99.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$99.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.