TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,867 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7645…3117backed Team Falcons34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed PARIVISION66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36029851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Team Falcons40c3,717$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Falcons36c3,503$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.0678639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked PARIVISION67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99014954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Falcons33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99047147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Team Falcons35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9913545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Team Falcons60c2,080$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24824339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed PARIVISION66c2,060$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed PARIVISION41c2,047$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.611046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Team Falcons34c2,009$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.0612441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed PARIVISION65c1,785$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.5368753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed PARIVISION61c1,674$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.8613044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed PARIVISION65c1,371$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.044955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons33c1,205$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.881,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed Team Falcons34c1,179$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.8614151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed PARIVISION64c1,150$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4142166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Team Falcons37c1,074$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked PARIVISION66c1,059$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.1927848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Team Falcons34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Team Falcons1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed PARIVISION65c953$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.554362.8%27 W · 16 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed PARIVISION62c936.79$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.9867041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed PARIVISION67c905.97$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9711247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked PARIVISION64c889.73$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.321,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons46c862.94$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Team Falcons35c859.74$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.918852.3%46 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked PARIVISION63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.654837.5%18 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked PARIVISION57c792.62$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.833551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked PARIVISION65c769.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5940655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5832653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed PARIVISION63c687.67$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.4444648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed PARIVISION66c638.2$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3722554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed PARIVISION67c594.83$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.835358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Team Falcons38c552$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.36141%25 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed PARIVISION63c499.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1856266.1%41 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1393…446dbacked PARIVISION66c456.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.061631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-48.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed PARIVISION66c455$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.79268.5%63 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7435…041fbacked Team Falcons36c444.92$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Falcons37c337.84$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12561338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked PARIVISION65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6945162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd168…9b5bbacked Team Falcons34c302.98$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Falcons37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11113242.4%56 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Team Falcons38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed Team Falcons35c260$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9110541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc87b…0595backed PARIVISION67c257.73$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.051560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked PARIVISION66c257.58$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5810156.4%57 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION54c246.9$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.952,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e9b3backed PARIVISION64c225.31$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed PARIVISION64c221.88$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8810251%52 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x772f…a69fbacked Team Falcons25c220.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc596…2a8bbacked PARIVISION64c219.61$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec3…c22cbacked Team Falcons47c164.1$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed PARIVISION67c158.97$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4624055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f7…360bbacked PARIVISION65c155.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.382334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked PARIVISION66c152$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6819954.3%108 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea3…2993backed Team Falcons34c151$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1de…9ab6backed Team Falcons37c149$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14b…c0e6backed Team Falcons36c140$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f3…14bebacked Team Falcons34c139.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x848c…6345backed Team Falcons36c139$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…327bbacked Team Falcons37c139$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked PARIVISION72c129.51$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.863953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION60c122.14$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.413,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed PARIVISION65c116.97$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.942,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed PARIVISION65c115.8$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.813040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be6…5240backed Team Falcons37c115$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Team Falcons34c112$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0811651.7%60 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70dc…56aebacked Team Falcons45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f10…9406backed Team Falcons34c110$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-61.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7fa…013abacked PARIVISION69c109.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.351369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed PARIVISION65c103$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0524840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Team Falcons35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3528856.6%163 W · 125 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a0…a974backed Team Falcons34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Team Falcons35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…b7f8backed Team Falcons33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf774…5f61backed Team Falcons34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-36.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47d0…0b0fbacked Team Falcons27c92.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252050%10 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Falcons34c91.81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.612,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked PARIVISION66c91.52$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.24942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf47d…2834backed PARIVISION66c86.04$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1914545.5%66 W · 79 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed PARIVISION75c84.07$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0215045.3%68 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ef1…9170backed Team Falcons37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfed…096dbacked Team Falcons34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed PARIVISION40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4816350.3%82 W · 81 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed PARIVISION64c78.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.421457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Team Falcons33c74.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6322253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed PARIVISION73c74.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1920942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed PARIVISION50c71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.521739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a1…2736backed Team Falcons34c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5828…3640backed PARIVISION65c68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed PARIVISION73c65.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8131372.8%228 W · 85 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4470…7351backed Team Falcons37c64.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3af…7b39backed PARIVISION66c61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Team Falcons34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed PARIVISION64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.612856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Falcons26c59.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1352755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked PARIVISION79c59.04$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.692,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed PARIVISION65c59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.651163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Team Falcons35c59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.651553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+69.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.