TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c6,480$4,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.173,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over28c5,826$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.043,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over50c5,660$2,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.467146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under51c4,441$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176.171450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under50c3,829$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.6621043.8%92 W · 118 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under50c3,029$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.637647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under50c2,444$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22247347.1%223 W · 250 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over50c2,200$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Over55c1,461$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.936246.8%29 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Under52c1,174$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.6846349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over53c1,118$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.066450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12bd…8f48backed Over50c1,067$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c1,042$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.8324544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under57c1,007$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.9621351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under48c899.94$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.971,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5945…67cabacked Over49c883.78$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.051250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Over60c691.3$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.733960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Over54c644.3$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.039954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under67c595.75$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.631,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over22c576.87$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8618536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba10…bf97backed Over56c558.4$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31021644.4%96 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under51c534.93$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.061338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24514454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x053e…1e27backed Over27c482.36$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.58714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-70.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under56c330.71$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.728350.6%42 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under56c323.3$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8910347.6%49 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Over49c304.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15025243.3%109 W · 143 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under44c276.63$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.912,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c248.13$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.71,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under52c227.77$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7122253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Over52c219.65$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2227658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Under42c218.97$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1278749.4%43 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf022…daddbacked Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501520%3 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-59.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x118d…0d42backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007131%22 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9625251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under52c199.95$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.971,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Over49c194$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0621455.6%119 W · 95 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaccd…7402backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004542.2%19 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb391…49e7backed Over54c178.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba00…747cbacked Over16c161.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.261450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under72c156$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.255,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e00…d922backed Over65c154.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c69…962ebacked Over51c139.53$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.383540%14 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over49c134.88$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0933352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3eb…33d3backed Over20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Under58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.539157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a0…4469backed Over52c120.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8415058.7%88 W · 62 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Under56c116.89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.36235.5%22 W · 40 L-9.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Over49c111$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3933237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over45c110$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.481246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012260.7%74 W · 48 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad59…cb41backed Over53c100.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5214454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019362.2%120 W · 73 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Under50c98.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0252951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4564…c051backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505236.5%19 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Over55c91.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509139.6%36 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd57b…d3b7backed Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+84.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Over49c82.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Under65c80.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.481457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Under67c80.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.661030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over31c78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1845224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under68c75.64$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.993,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Over53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over37c71.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4952755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over48c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.485946.1%396 W · 463 L-1.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Over53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under65c64.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.581,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c64.22$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.752,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Under57c62.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.983842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+57%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056554.2%306 W · 259 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over33c61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.962,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked Over49c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1810447.1%49 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x772f…a69fbacked Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb909…2d57backed Over52c57.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308056.3%45 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under52c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3660147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13bb…a36cbacked Over52c53.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Under56c52.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2641640.6%169 W · 247 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x949c…ab2cbacked Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255642.9%24 W · 32 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x353f…bdd4backed Over48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.961656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Over51c50.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9420145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06c…75c8backed Under51c50.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.861258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…78a0backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.58759.8%52 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0010…c3a8backed Under68c47.06$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0631973.7%235 W · 84 L+23.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over61c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4522324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Under39c42.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6717857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.