TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfd96…e623

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
781
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Earnings at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT39851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 398 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$695
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$880
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$365
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$789.27
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.71
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,420
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,284.26
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$520
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$490
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.3
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,058Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$941.81
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$311.99
Showing 25 of 398 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT21055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 210 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$500
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,700.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,575Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,925
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,236Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$2,177.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,950Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,050
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$9.62
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$294
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,610Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$3,609.62
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,475.51
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.99
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,568.15
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$55.4
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+278.6%+$562.98
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$702
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+165.4%+$311.57
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+77%+$1,740
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$327.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.09
Showing 25 of 210 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST5044%22 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis (BO5)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$498.37
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Aurora (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+33.4%+$113.55
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.8%+$30.41
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$242.09
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+51.6%+$200.88
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+285.3%+$590.87
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,374.84
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+132.5%+$277.92
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$579.76
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,724Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+48.3%+$1,316.73
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.47
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,513Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+32.1%+$485.96
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$944.06
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$69.52
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$55.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$3,564.28
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20.24
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Aurora (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$2,306.85
Dota 2: Runa Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Runa Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$855.99
Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,052Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+46.2%+$948.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+669.2%+$223.55
Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$72.74
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+53.6%+$345.9
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41,129.39
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.12
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$6,469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,469.21
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$818.83
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,329.1%+$424.85
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,396Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+230.7%+$3,220.53
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,933.37
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,726.04
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,959Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$924.16
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,810
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.13
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$87.5
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.04
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$223
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.93
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$110.63
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35%+$184.48
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,459Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$636.08
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,186.28
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,231.11
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14,426Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$10,190.27
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,789.64
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Earnings — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla say "Cybertruck" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$18.97
Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30.05
Will Netflix say "Jake Paul" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$32.53
Will JPMorgan say "Trading" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$20
Will Nike say "Nike Factory" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$122
Will Nike say "Amazon" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Nike say "Express Lane" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Will Nike say "Sabrina" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Will FedEx say "Smith" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+733.3%+$99.76
Will FedEx say "Inventory" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Oracle say "Stargate" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$109.81
Will Chewy say "Supplement" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$60.44
Will Chewy say "Humanization" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Adobe say "Firefly Video" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$65.19
Will Adobe say "Qualcomm" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22.32
Will Adobe say "Black Friday" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$49.12
Will Chewy say "Automation" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+25.7%+$17.09
All 18 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$169.36
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$639.88
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$62.98
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+177.8%+$37.12
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,330Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+41.2%+$2,609.65
Will NEOM SC win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$205.12
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$679.2
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$197.37
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+62.8%+$444.95
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,816Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+34.8%+$632.59
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,227.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.31
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$503.74
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$1,051.17
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$69.88
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.2
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$261.65
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.37
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.9
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56%+$193.01
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.11
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.85
Valorant: Team Secret vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+87.3%+$984.91
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+41.8%+$147.49
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.61
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+154.4%+$42.52
Richmond Spiders vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Fairfield Stags vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.24
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.35
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+124.7%+$148.51
Memphis Tigers vs. Rice Owlsbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.03
Boston College Eagles vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$39.68
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+79.8%+$731.38
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$361.11
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+293.1%+$266.92
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30.3
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$95.7
Will Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$196.09
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-74.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$200
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,348.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+1,348.5%+$216.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+64.6%+$46.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+47.5%+$77.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+47.1%+$128
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.1%+$90.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.