Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3243d375e7140d0f7a26b5bf15b9afb0cbeaa37de5b0eae662c7280f48900875
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 41c | 15,070$6,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,927.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 11,141$7,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,375.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 7,630$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.01 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 15c | 3,312$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.01 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 2,854$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.62 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 62c | 2,715$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.12 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.67 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…aa2bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,745$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,548$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.02 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 36c | 1,448$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.06 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 30c | 1,347$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.62 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Yes | 61c | 1,153$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,122$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…42e0backed Yes | 43c | 1,009$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…86a1backed Yes | 60c | 854.8$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…837cbacked Yes | 56c | 795.41$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 26c | 764.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.84 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 758.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.93 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…41dbbacked Yes | 26c | 685.38$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Yes | 58c | 614.34$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 26c | 535.32$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 518.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.83 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…997cbacked Yes | 49c | 513.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 435.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.37 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed No | 34c | 405.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 404.25$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.56 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 69c | 397.28$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.57 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 14c | 368.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.78 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 56c | 258.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 16c | 252.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.33 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…2861backed Yes | 63c | 240.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Yes | 60c | 205.46$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes | 26c | 166.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +278.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 26c | 151.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 65c | 136.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…4e8dbacked Yes | 17c | 129.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 69c | 128.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 56c | 123.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes | 26c | 119.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 41c | 116.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282d…8a32backed Yes | 26c | 115.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 14c | 114$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5842…fa92backed Yes | 72c | 96.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 69c | 91.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383c…d1b8backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…973ebacked Yes | 52c | 84.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 12c | 80.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Yes | 61c | 75.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…0af4backed Yes | 54c | 71.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a0…511ebacked Yes | 62c | 67.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…0dd9backed Yes | 70c | 50.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 25c | 49.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…c7f3backed Yes | 27c | 46.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11dc…f4dcbacked No | 45c | 45.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 61c | 42.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…5830backed No | 73c | 38.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 49c | 35.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Yes | 63c | 34.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…e39bbacked Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5906…c04cbacked Yes | 63c | 31.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…afe5backed No | 51c | 29.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Yes | 75c | 29.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…896ebacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?No won
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.