TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x979f…4e13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST4440.9%18 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+65%+$84.53
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+842%+$126.3
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+90.6%+$13.59
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+60.9%+$64.28
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100.37
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$98.27
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.85
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$387.08
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+400%+$120
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.47
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.5%+$51.72
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+50.9%+$17.83
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+93%+$42.8
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+165%+$98.81
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 5)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+29.4%+$80.16
SA20: Durban's Super Giants vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1)backed Durban's Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1)backed MI Cape Town · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Paarl Royals (Game 1)backed Paarl Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+89.4%+$20.7
SA20: Joburg Super Kings vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)backed Joburg Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.3%+$38.43
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.2%+$59.67
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1)backed Pretoria Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+41.7%+$37.51
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+157.1%+$31.41
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Will New Zealand win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.27
All 21 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.76
SS Lazio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will SS Lazio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$17.54
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Algeria vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.63
Will Morocco vs. Tanzania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$29.55
Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$20.14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$19.69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+64.6%+$19.39
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$7.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$20.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.