Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f3b7c5f009c252186248b5fff3a03babe58b71b2596e24f4ead53ce4854aa97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 70c | 8,538$5,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.63 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 23c | 7,000$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.99 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 8c | 6,816$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.14 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 33c | 6,303$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.85 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 36c | 5,160$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.82 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 10c | 4,750$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 28c | 3,955$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.47 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 13c | 3,721$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.7 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 3c | 3,563$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 22c | 3,525$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.21 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…0261backed Yes | 9c | 3,420$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.99 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 80c | 3,410$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.53 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 11c | 3,240$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.37 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Yes | 11c | 3,010$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.07 | 202 | 26.7%54 W · 148 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 21c | 2,741$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.78 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed Yes | 44c | 2,713$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.52 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes | 6c | 2,686$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.17 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…583ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,658$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.31 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…2d43backed No | 71c | 2,601$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.19 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…0c26backed Yes | 9c | 2,272$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 63c | 2,239$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.2 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…645cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,232$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.49 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 30c | 2,193$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.83 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 36c | 2,130$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.98 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 2,070$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.58 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 2,010$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.84 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 66c | 2,001$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.7 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.89 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.93 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,992$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.08 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 58c | 1,867$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.3 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,718$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.51 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,560$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.63 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…2f8abacked Yes | 40c | 1,541$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.54 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 66c | 1,534$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.48 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,508$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6045…c563backed Yes | 14c | 1,438$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.81 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 64c | 1,398$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.99 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 15c | 1,352$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 20c | 1,342$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.52 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 45c | 1,302$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.93 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed No | 65c | 1,296$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.4 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ad…f1c0backed Yes | 40c | 1,289$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.81 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,246$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 10c | 1,246$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2041backed Yes | 16c | 1,211$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.27 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 71c | 1,206$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.31 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 67c | 1,191$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.6 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 7c | 1,179$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 8c | 1,003$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 63c | 933.7$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.16 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 69c | 884.65$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.23 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…307cbacked Yes | 31c | 844.44$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes | 24c | 841.93$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 35c | 832.91$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.65 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 14c | 819.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 791.23$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.86 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…6fd4backed Yes | 22c | 764.81$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.26 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 710.39$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1d…fa38backed Yes | 44c | 700.33$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…17e5backed Yes | 31c | 700$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x017e…be52backed Yes | 39c | 690.55$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0383…7eefbacked Yes | 22c | 688.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 263 | 14.8%39 W · 224 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 22c | 668.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 653.62$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.19 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a7…718ebacked Yes | 15c | 634.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…77acbacked Yes | 15c | 627.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 159 | 25.2%40 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 72c | 623.23$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.69 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…5ffbbacked Yes | 33c | 598.13$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 12c | 590$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…4132backed Yes | 18c | 570.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 25c | 551.25$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 12c | 534.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked No | 71c | 517.95$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 30c | 517.37$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 6c | 502.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 30c | 500$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986d…b351backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 67c | 495.24$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.14 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…885fbacked Yes | 10c | 492.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed No | 66c | 490.75$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 144 | 27.1%39 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 80c | 477$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 36c | 455.86$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…be66backed No | 69c | 450$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked Yes | 41c | 450$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked No | 69c | 449.59$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.37 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf7…aba5backed Yes | 22c | 440.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 23c | 437.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 20c | 430.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 32c | 417.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed Yes | 15c | 413$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 43c | 404.25$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.37 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 75c | 404.1$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 15c | 400.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 20c | 400.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 16c | 400$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.