Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f775abcdb4347d4e44820fea5f71fc0f53ab1e449aa5738e51d40db1c3a71f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 64c | 12,240$7,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,397.62 | 563 | 29.8%168 W · 395 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 19c | 10,443$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.29 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d8…8dd3backed No | 1c | 7,948$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 49c | 6,222$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,171.75 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 16c | 5,168$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.27 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…178ebacked No | 2c | 4,885$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 65c | 4,257$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.45 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 15c | 3,898$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.52 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 23c | 3,397$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.45 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 64c | 3,230$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.11 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked No | 12c | 3,160$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.47 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 1c | 3,151$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 79c | 3,146$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.96 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 54c | 3,036$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.39 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…2f8abacked No | 31c | 3,025$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.33 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 37c | 2,755$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.98 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 75c | 2,616$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.67 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…0ed2backed No | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 52c | 2,409$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.59 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 46c | 2,361$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.16 | 219 | 59.8%131 W · 88 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 36c | 2,070$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.65 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 55c | 2,064$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.33 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 27c | 2,000$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.99 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 35c | 2,000$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.72 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 57c | 1,919$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.93 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,889$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.1 | 405 | 19.8%80 W · 325 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 18c | 1,860$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.06 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7135backed Yes | 52c | 1,775$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.46 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -96%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…2d43backed Yes | 70c | 1,762$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.72 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed No | 2c | 1,750$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,744$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.88 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 10c | 1,734$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…fa0cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,732$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.89 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed No | 16c | 1,522$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…0de2backed No | 24c | 1,511$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 23c | 1,429$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.73 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,391$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.27 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed Yes | 50c | 1,376$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.13 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…ee5cbacked No | 14c | 1,317$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,312$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.49 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…c441backed No | 1c | 1,259$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 58c | 1,242$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.52 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 39c | 1,222$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.65 | 217 | 57.6%125 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…f169backed Yes | 64c | 1,115$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.95 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ad…f1c0backed Yes | 47c | 1,001$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.28 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 991.41$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.3 | 386 | 48.2%186 W · 200 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 56c | 883.41$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.49 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed No | 34c | 873.33$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.07 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 46c | 839.61$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.61 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 53c | 800$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.52 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 43c | 798.25$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.3 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 25c | 789.45$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.16 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 778.68$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.37 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa808…6e5dbacked Yes | 67c | 757.94$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 41c | 757.24$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.23 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed No | 46c | 731.67$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…afe0backed No | 13c | 723.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d63…1b7fbacked No | 23c | 700.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 49c | 692.91$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.7 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 68c | 691.71$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 64c | 663.48$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.55 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Yes | 53c | 659.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.38 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…eac8backed No | 27c | 656.21$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.84 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed No | 6c | 649.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 202 | 26.7%54 W · 148 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6045…c563backed No | 19c | 636.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 71c | 620.36$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.1 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked Yes | 79c | 612.4$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 36c | 605.07$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 63c | 599.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 582$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 15c | 578.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…2858backed Yes | 65c | 576.68$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.32 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 78c | 567$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 71c | 551.25$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.33 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017e…be52backed Yes | 59c | 547.05$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…72bfbacked Yes | 58c | 540.53$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.77 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 73c | 540.13$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 63c | 535.94$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.94 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked No | 6c | 509.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…307cbacked Yes | 61c | 502.44$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 53c | 500$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.85 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 74c | 495.45$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.45 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 64c | 491.31$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.33 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…600fbacked Yes | 67c | 478.19$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 54c | 474.18$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 312 | 24.7%77 W · 235 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…1305backed No | 21c | 473.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 75c | 461.08$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed Yes | 75c | 444.21$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 56c | 443.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.48 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 52c | 439.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.06 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2041backed Yes | 56c | 410.22$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed Yes | 69c | 408.1$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 14c | 404.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 53c | 402.86$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 75c | 401.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544a…dbe1backed No | 34c | 401.04$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.04 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 400.74$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.