TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b24…f36a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
355
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Stocks at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT19229.2%56 W · 136 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 192 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.85
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$154.97
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$160.99
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.85
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+387.7%+$1,204.99
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$10.23
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+205.5%+$86.33
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.69
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.28
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$283.72
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.55
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$26.82
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+608.7%+$79.12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$148.51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 192 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.7
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.39
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$17.97
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$28.92
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.27
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60%+$18
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$8.47
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.87
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.54
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$40.07
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.55
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$94.05
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST3644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+30.3%+$4.82
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$36.95
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$92.48
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.45
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$39.78
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+62.9%+$9.3
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$39.88
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+150.6%+$66.37
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$85.73
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.96
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+35.7%+$4.12
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$11.16
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+88.5%+$55.8
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.46
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.89
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+93.2%+$78.56
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.01
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$26.63
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$114.81
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+162.6%+$54.58
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.11
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.07
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.38
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.7
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$54.47
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.6
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$25.39
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$18.18
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$13.31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+62%+$18.51
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$9.72
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$23.65
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$23.9
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+182.5%+$264.6
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$162.73
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+294%+$574.44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$24.39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST2948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$112.14
Senators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$7.58
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17.44
Flyers vs. Lightningbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$22.52
Bruins vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+117.4%+$12.96
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.76
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+126.2%+$24.02
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiensbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22.29
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Blues vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.48
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.29
Bruins vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$41.88
Hurricanes vs. Jetsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$13.97
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.23
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.81
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+99.6%+$17.9
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17.54
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+81.6%+$19.31
Islanders vs. Red Wingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+120.1%+$112.32
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+118.9%+$38.15
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+63.8%+$14.08
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$59.13
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+122.2%+$27.74
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+106.2%+$16.73
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+145.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$24.36
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Mondaybacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.