Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe52d08ac92ff6013a7e0fa93a53b07a44ec30bdd1a24103c1468e4e6aafb5fbc

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $328,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $188,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,932 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	26,490$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.53	797	11.3%90 W · 707 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	0c	12,053$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.11	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	4c	8,674$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.05	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86d5…d80abacked Yes	9c	7,488$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.42	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	7c	6,234$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.94	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	6,147$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.96	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	0c	5,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	24c	4,928$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	13c	4,037$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.42	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	3,964$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.29	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	25c	3,938$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.97	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	10c	3,705$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.48	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Yes	12c	3,580$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.08	424	24.5%104 W · 320 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	3,397$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.66	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	21c	3,327$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.74	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	6c	3,080$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.6	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	15c	3,000$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.5	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes	1c	2,944$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.51	412	20.6%85 W · 327 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	2,616$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.34	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	14c	2,574$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.42	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	10c	2,478$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.13	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	1c	2,258$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	2,212$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.93	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	28c	2,135$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.75	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	26c	1,996$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.06	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,967$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	17c	1,844$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.79	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	26c	1,836$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.31	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	78c	1,800$1,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.61	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	2c	1,800$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.1	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x952b…c92fbacked Yes	24c	1,766$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.13	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	5c	1,758$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.24	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	22c	1,710$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	9c	1,643$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.94	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f7d…b3ffbacked Yes	1c	1,611$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	7c	1,567$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.97	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	20c	1,556$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.99	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	14c	1,525$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.62	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	7c	1,369$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb5f…1ad5backed Yes	24c	1,349$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.22	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	6c	1,333$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.14	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	1,300$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	4c	1,299$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.59	288	12.8%37 W · 251 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5285…1cc5backed Yes	21c	1,280$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.34	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	2c	1,231$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.93	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	4c	1,217$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.84	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	24c	1,128$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.91	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	16c	1,125$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.64	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	12c	1,113$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.34	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	1,100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	578	11.4%66 W · 512 L	+19.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	76c	1,007$761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.93	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	15c	943.39$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.71	154	7.8%12 W · 142 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	3c	888.55$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.85	324	15.7%51 W · 273 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…4cc5backed Yes	2c	887.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d77…04c9backed Yes	5c	836.24$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.95	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x114a…f1d1backed Yes	23c	833.65$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.26	38	13.2%5 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0262…d7b6backed Yes	13c	815$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.97	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ba…d31cbacked Yes	10c	800$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.8	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	23c	792.7$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.54	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	16c	791.63$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.03	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	75c	784.41$586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.55	186	76.9%143 W · 43 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	2c	730$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.83	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x159f…4043backed Yes	27c	683.23$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.91	87	21.8%19 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2cf…cd1fbacked Yes	5c	667.43$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.55	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa43e…ec90backed No	75c	659.98$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.55	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41be…5f38backed Yes	31c	655.24$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.47	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	23c	651.8$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.89	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	12c	629.93$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.42	188	14.4%27 W · 161 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	9c	598.97$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.8	731	15.2%111 W · 620 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	11c	589.96$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.43	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	20c	572.49$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.86	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e1…681abacked Yes	24c	564.89$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.87	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	12c	549.98$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.45	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1f4…2a00backed Yes	19c	512.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	6c	506.12$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.46	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe906…ae2bbacked Yes	5c	500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	25c	500$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.68	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	17c	500$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.6	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	74c	500$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.5	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x966e…2ad5backed Yes	7c	498.17$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.01	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-85.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	28c	496.3$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x292f…918dbacked Yes	27c	492.11$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.63	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	+2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	25c	485.05$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.63	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x063d…35c7backed Yes	2c	474.24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	65	23.1%15 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81fb…25f3backed No	79c	474.22$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.88	34	79.4%27 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	77cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aed…0b9dbacked Yes	27c	448.43$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	26c	406.08$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	20c	403.8$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.1	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa59e…06edbacked Yes	26c	401.81$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.34	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	20c	400$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01da…07bebacked Yes	18c	400$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.6	143	20.3%29 W · 114 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+82.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ce…f073backed No	76c	399.98$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	72cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf382…be0ebacked Yes	22c	387$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.47	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+120.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	26c	383.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.78	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b3…98f4backed Yes	10c	382.63$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.36	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed No	79c	379.32$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.32	167	41.3%69 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	27c	370.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.01	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x652e…4a94backed Yes	7c	368.8$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	133	23.3%31 W · 102 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1425…d60dbacked Yes	14c	363$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.57	107	42.1%45 W · 62 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event