Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df800308c8ee9e5262b983a7a40746da434e6fa9fbdda5365807bfdf9e114d7

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $478,443
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $301,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,443 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	0c	42,634$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.18	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	1c	20,631$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.3	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	15,727$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.99	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	15,356$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.49	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	1c	14,881$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	13,683$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.87	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	1c	9,954$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.61	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	+354.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f7…9ed6backed Yes	0c	7,644$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.97	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	7,207$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.59	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	6,726$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.48	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	5,737$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.5	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	3c	5,291$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.69	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	1c	5,081$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.93	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	1c	5,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.97	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	12c	4,968$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.42	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	2c	4,828$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.87	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf37b…4edabacked Yes	1c	4,607$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.71	63	6.3%4 W · 59 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	17c	4,208$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.42	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…ffcfbacked Yes	0c	4,147$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.81	200	9%18 W · 182 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+173%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes	2c	4,000$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.71	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8b…1fb1backed Yes	2c	3,775$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.32	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa59e…06edbacked Yes	3c	3,625$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.64	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	1c	3,472$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.72	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	1c	3,453$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes	1c	3,112$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.32	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a8…372abacked Yes	1c	3,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	1c	2,762$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	1c	2,642$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31f2…6cbbbacked Yes	1c	2,480$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.64	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+90.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	2c	2,385$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.61	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	3c	2,307$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.46	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	1c	2,279$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.56	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	1c	2,239$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	179	17.9%32 W · 147 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	2c	2,200$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.16	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	2,200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	3c	2,184$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.7	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	1c	2,139$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.59	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d0…1ccdbacked Yes	1c	2,065$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes	12c	2,054$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.38	50	30%15 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	19c	2,007$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.4	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	1c	2,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	14c	1,910$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.03	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes	2c	1,887$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	282	11%31 W · 251 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x714d…c177backed Yes	9c	1,882$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	2c	1,811$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.43	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,701$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.02	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	19c	1,579$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	9c	1,545$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.07	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	3c	1,526$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.79	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56a7…4249backed Yes	2c	1,476$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.95	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f69…cf59backed Yes	2c	1,420$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.64	107	10.3%11 W · 96 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	3c	1,419$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	1,410$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.35	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	2c	1,239$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29e7…fbbfbacked Yes	1c	1,215$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.45	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	1,130$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.96	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	3c	1,122$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.11	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	5c	1,080$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6158…fa72backed Yes	1c	1,076$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	2c	1,018$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Yes	2c	1,001$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.98	167	41.3%69 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	1,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.66	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Yes	2c	999.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	84	36.9%31 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aed…0b9dbacked Yes	2c	961.61$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	7c	869.5$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255e…acbebacked Yes	1c	809.52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	2c	781.32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	+102.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1f4…2a00backed Yes	19c	751$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	708.41$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.55	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	17c	706.34$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.83	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58a5…ec93backed No	80c	610.15$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.03	32	84.4%27 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	80cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	2c	600$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	10c	598.98$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.92	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04a…7aecbacked Yes	2c	593.84$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	554.5$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.9	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd13d…a958backed Yes	2c	536.79$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	2c	536.24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	17c	500.85$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.73	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes	3c	484.57$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.94	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2cf…cd1fbacked Yes	9c	480.69$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.75	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes	3c	479.95$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.32	412	20.6%85 W · 327 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	2c	410.3$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	3c	400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	13c	382.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.74	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaee…8911backed Yes	20c	350$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	4c	279.84$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba75…837fbacked Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	8c	237.08$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5a…1537backed Yes	12c	204.38$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.21	159	18.9%30 W · 129 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.77	149	13.4%20 W · 129 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bf8…fb84backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	15c	195.26$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.58	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	16c	190$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0959…fa99backed Yes	12c	149.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	12c	147.62$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	8c	145.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes	16c	141.8$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.03	129	19.4%25 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event