Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b9cc242b752ec4ed05405b172a767d3c14a7ebaf4356437b6b6d69f6eaa1d7e

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $390,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $339,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,187 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	23c	9,269$2,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,136.98	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed No	25c	7,760$1,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,941.44	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	35c	7,730$2,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,026.08	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	18c	7,322$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,977.54	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	4c	6,282$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,016.79	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	17c	5,209$878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,331.21	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	44c	4,795$2,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,683.22	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa43e…ec90backed No	56c	4,230$2,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,355.29	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	17c	4,102$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,412.64	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	28c	4,019$1,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,886.98	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	58c	3,946$2,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,293.81	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	42c	3,760$1,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,195.3	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	48c	3,620$1,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,892.12	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	11c	3,411$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,051.49	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	74c	3,270$2,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$834.61	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No	59c	3,034$1,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,788.12	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	6c	3,000$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,829.97	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	10c	2,905$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,611.68	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	33c	2,758$909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,849.2	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	37c	2,753$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,028.67	189	49.2%93 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…1305backed No	34c	2,741$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes	31c	2,504$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,738.36	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	76c	2,455$1,864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,863.72	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5ab…2bcfbacked Yes	27c	2,357$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,726.65	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	43c	2,248$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,279.26	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	23c	2,218$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,703.7	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	39c	2,056$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,255.91	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	75c	2,010$1,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.02	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,839.99	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	18c	2,000$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,648.02	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Yes	55c	1,993$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$893.1	167	41.3%69 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed No	70c	1,945$1,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,355.55	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	30c	1,876$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,318.2	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	78c	1,807$1,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.56	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2cf…cd1fbacked Yes	52c	1,792$927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.5	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x288d…00eabacked Yes	42c	1,763$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,026.41	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No	23c	1,753$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.39	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8b…1fb1backed Yes	43c	1,752$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,006.59	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	17c	1,689$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,402.14	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	50c	1,673$841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$832.58	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	5c	1,551$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,473.67	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	78c	1,521$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188.21	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	42c	1,479$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.4	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	49c	1,428$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.77	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes	50c	1,378$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$683.72	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f69…cf59backed Yes	8c	1,372$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,259.43	107	10.3%11 W · 96 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	63c	1,339$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.61	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1aed…0b9dbacked Yes	31c	1,320$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.41	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	21c	1,272$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,004.74	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	31c	1,260$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.84	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d77…04c9backed Yes	24c	1,234$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.79	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	79c	1,209$952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.28	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	44c	1,207$537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.9	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No	11c	1,157$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.83	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x338d…6fd4backed No	12c	1,138$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.99	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b0…4486backed Yes	64c	1,126$725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.55	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa230…1cdbbacked Yes	20c	1,121$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.84	105	21.9%23 W · 82 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes	12c	1,106$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$972.74	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed No	48c	1,106$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.21	424	24.5%104 W · 320 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x913f…c676backed Yes	64c	1,098$698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.42	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-7.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ca2…6e06backed Yes	8c	1,098$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,004.93	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+84.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	15c	1,080$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$918	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…9917backed Yes	11c	1,062$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$942.73	79	20.3%16 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed No	21c	1,046$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.13	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	1,039$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.7	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked No	60c	1,035$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.29	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	6c	1,020$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$963.5	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…d2c0backed Yes	12c	1,010$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.95	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	+80.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf382…be0ebacked Yes	4c	1,005$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.54	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+120.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	50	30%15 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked No	53c	999.99$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.5	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8233…df36backed No	16c	934.8$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.2	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	34c	916.35$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.19	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	54c	902.72$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.93	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd13d…a958backed Yes	38c	886.73$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.9	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb26f…aa5fbacked Yes	32c	860.06$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.39	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No	36c	844.65$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.49	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	31c	824$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.64	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ba…d31cbacked Yes	11c	799.99$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.99	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x255e…acbebacked Yes	19c	775.57$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.57	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	60c	755.69$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.23	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	37c	751.97$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.4	276	47.8%132 W · 144 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa17b…95cbbacked Yes	78c	719.57$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.31	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	12c	704.99$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.33	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	27c	700$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.4	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9842…132bbacked Yes	2c	696$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.18	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	6cpaid	+607%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	21c	691.83$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.45	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf512…0985backed Yes	16c	675$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.34	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Yes	65c	666.8$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.1	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	42c	643$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.01	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	44c	632.47$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.65	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	9c	612.16$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.67	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes	41c	600$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.21	78	25.6%20 W · 58 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x433e…6be1backed Yes	5c	600$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570	90	24.4%22 W · 68 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…04cebacked Yes	71c	600$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.89	119	32.8%39 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	9c	600$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	25c	597.91$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.84	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	7c	595$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.93	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	34c	593.24$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.1	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	12c	574.33$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.07	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event