TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x927f…e7e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
968
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20632%66 W · 140 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 206 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+27.2%+$64.2
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$69.45
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Big Game: 'Santa Clara Shootout' Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.65
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$123.3
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$110
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$116
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$125
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+106.9%+$180.8
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$58.21
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+138.1%+$116
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$170
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Showing 25 of 206 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10124.8%25 W · 76 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$344
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$381
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.36
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Evan Bouchard win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.03
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.37
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
NHL Playoffs: Avalanche vs. Kings Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.34
Will the Winnipeg Jets make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.83
Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.61
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.85
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.77
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$62.33
Spread: Wild (-2.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$62.7
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.96
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8332.5%27 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$180
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.99
Will the DHS shutdown last 120 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$249
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+284.6%+$148
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+426.3%+$324
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$348
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$147.11
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.39
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+261%+$57.03
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+150.1%+$77.38
Will Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Trump say "Pacific" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$102
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.51
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+160.4%+$307.97
Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Will Trump say "Mineral" or "Earth" 2+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT7939.2%31 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.99
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$308
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$284
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$203.16
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$173
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.93
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$325.72
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.1
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$273
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$193
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Trump say "VoterID" or "Voter ID" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.89
Will Trump say "General" or "Bondi" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
Will Trump say "Armada" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+34.1%+$13.7
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$325
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+108%+$453.33
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT7825.6%20 W · 58 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$40.76
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+223.8%+$34.56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$51.1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.6
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.56
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$351.21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$131
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+179.7%+$336.42
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.82
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT6927.5%19 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,797Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$605.5
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$159.8
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.09
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$335.66
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$112.3
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.99
Will Danish People’s Party win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.65
Will Liberal Alliance win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40.7
Will National Citizen Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.08
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$670
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$123.32
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4723.4%11 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.33
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$39
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.16
Will Powell say "Gold" or "Oil" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$64.97
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+334.8%+$154
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$137.5
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.61
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.4
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$69
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+193.8%+$197.89
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$24.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.63
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$123
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$55
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$257.24
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$173.33
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$84.3
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.92
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+38%+$110.05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$243
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,694.6%+$944.28
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$60.11
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$72.6
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$135
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.52
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.45
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 30–40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Kathy" or "Hochul" during NYC rally?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.33
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Iran" during NYC rally?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+300%+$50
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "One Percent" 2+ times during NYC rally?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$10.53
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" during NYC rally?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$128
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$125.25
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+61.3%+$152
Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$121.36
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Democratic sweep?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$46.6
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$167
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.94
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$447.07
Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.2
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+120%+$109.65
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$60
Will Trump say "Stupid" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+150%+$38.75
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.82
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.67
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.56
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$47.44
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will Trump say "Card" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$125.6
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$152
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$752
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.99
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$49.44
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+150%+$90
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.9
NBA Finals G7: Will Haliburton score 15+ points against the Thunder? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
NBA Finals G7: Will SGA score 33+ points against the Pacers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
NBA Finals G6: Will SGA score 35+ points against the Pacers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Los Angeles Lakers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.77
All 23 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$235.22
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+212.5%+$680
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$119
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$268
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$438.86
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.83
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26.47
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+27.9%+$109
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$188
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$488
Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USAbacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$44.9
Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$494.3
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$119.65
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.24
Olympic Women's Basketball: USA (-27.5) vs. Nigeria Spreadbacked Nigeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$20.74
Olympic Basketball: USA (-27.5) vs. Brazil Spreadbacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$36.68
Olympic Basketball: Canada vs. Francebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.99
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Alireza Firouzja qualify for the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa qualify for the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Will Alireza Firouzja win the Sinquefield Cup 2025 chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$75
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.61
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$67.62
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$110
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$34.8
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$57
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win FIDE Candidates 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$27
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$25.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.86
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$31.53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$8.51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$287
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$22
2024 September hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$23
2024 July hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$121.12
All 15 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$437.63
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+212.6%+$340.06
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$476.06
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$269.75
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$236.4
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$180.72
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$311.75
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$91.84
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$329.82
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.4%+$310.7
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$24.8
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Canelo Alverez beat Edgar Berlanga?backed Berlanga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+123.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$72.92
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.36
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+2,292.3%+$287.46
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,068
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-74.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$138.77
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$597
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25.71
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.37
Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in Home Runs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks make the 2025 MLB playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick32cpaid+69%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+75.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
LSU vs. Clemsonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$71.5
UTSA vs. Texas A&Mbacked UTSA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick25cpaid+316.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$359.99
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+376.2%+$158
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+122.6%+$660.99
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$178
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will the US add 200k or more jobs in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$228
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$45.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.