TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,480 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f6b…267ebacked No0c19,800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-56.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed No29c14,596$4,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,256.661643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes64c11,583$7,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,183.42742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes73c11,500$8,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.461656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+50%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff72…cdaabacked No31c7,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead4…d1a5backed Yes62c6,924$4,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1574…8b9dbacked Yes42c6,886$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,996.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed No28c6,350$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.240%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…6b11backed Yes64c5,991$3,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.041361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+92.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No6c5,824$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.311618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-72.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dee…8176backed No43c4,642$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3201225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-64.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c3,939$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.22458.9%4 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes65c3,829$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.681850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…045abacked Yes71c3,827$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-64.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52dd…d79fbacked No1c3,600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde36…0622backed No30c3,554$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.8980%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed No30c3,537$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad8…93b6backed No34c3,457$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.561030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked No29c3,422$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.3520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x126f…7137backed No36c3,038$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a5…d228backed No1c3,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Yes72c2,800$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+85.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No31c2,510$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.632020%4 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes66c2,400$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.08988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+77.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x47e7…7c61backed No1c2,057$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed Yes69c2,000$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.731127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No31c2,000$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.142240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a7…0af9backed Yes69c1,972$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe379…3c98backed Yes69c1,971$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.39977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+48.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd8…d3ddbacked Yes46c1,715$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f11…157abacked Yes60c1,705$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed No42c1,675$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.36119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-88.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No34c1,610$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.242035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked No40c1,580$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.43922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes61c1,578$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.43580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7832…4107backed No32c1,563$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc406…07d9backed No52c1,542$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.72366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked No31c1,522$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d7…1635backed Yes73c1,498$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+154.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6978…08d8backed No56c1,448$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.921225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbace…3429backed Yes59c1,380$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.8580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Yes77c1,307$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed No24c1,293$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.751513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79d4…6d24backed No24c1,122$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed No11c1,090$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick15cpaid+150.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No2c1,075$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.25137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-65.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad4b…2dafbacked Yes75c1,049$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked No30c1,018$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No44c1,008$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.992330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+101.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699b…db49backed Yes64c1,000$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e1…976dbacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cac…6f43backed Yes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1278…8b92backed Yes75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162f…798dbacked No33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-66.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked No41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-68.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44e6…9d9ebacked No30c994.19$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.41050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked No39c990.15$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-62.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x634a…07b2backed Yes72c975.22$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes53c966.2$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.564740.4%19 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+137.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed No32c927.32$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.371625%4 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01a…863abacked Yes73c912.93$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed No40c908.24$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc14d…cbdbbacked Yes75c886.96$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.74757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes58c714.24$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a55…6be2backed No28c709.22$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x585d…ff6dbacked Yes34c699.73$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd91…f0a0backed No47c690.1$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes44c685.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed No44c682.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8383…cb59backed No32c679.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No33c624.05$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.421315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-73.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked No24c612.7$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.741931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf44a…2034backed Yes53c609.35$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+65.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8d4…3ffabacked No2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x409d…7d86backed Yes60c599.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bb…5048backed No37c564.84$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.46742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f3…f3a5backed No35c564.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked No30c556$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.351315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No32c550.87$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.751520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes44c549.68$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.75812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-71.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes50c530.35$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf841…6702backed No62c522.42$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-77.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca44…6d4ebacked Yes64c500.1$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+100.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1654100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x013d…3e88backed No52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27b…3966backed No2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…cec7backed No32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6f…87f9backed No7c500$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes50c499.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.21145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick19cpaid+167.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1dc7…302dbacked Yes61c493.15$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe87…062abacked Yes59c492.05$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.051154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd416…d9e2backed No24c488.14$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97c2…55d6backed No26c476.96$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f3…38c9backed Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.19825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af5…2470backed Yes65c469.13$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.38977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+58.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3f8…98e1backed No48c453.57$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0473…05d6backed Yes54c448.55$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.