TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe87…062a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$64.03
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$119.77
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+322.5%+$161.24
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$138.17
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+101%+$101.01
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Messi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.71
Will Canada be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$28.39
Will USA be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.67
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$140.43
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$83.66
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+144.7%+$43.41
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.43
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+746.2%+$111.92
Will Puka Nacua be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+495.6%+$99.13
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+152.5%+$106.76
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+164.5%+$65.8
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$26.96
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$23.8
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$41.63
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+73.7%+$103.21
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+49%+$98.05
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+30.1%+$58.31
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$360
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.04
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$134.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+144.8%+$144.82
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+93.8%+$112.58
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+31.1%+$5.48
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+130.2%+$130.22
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+68.5%+$200.05
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37.09
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Tate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$178.18
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$40
ETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$29.55
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.6%+$70.3
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+112.1%+$448.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid+89.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-61.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $110 August 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+91.5%+$36.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.