Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cbee01c8bb40d5a4fc93e08818554e229a424eff354aa189cec4172dcc6ad4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 52c | 8,854$4,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.66 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 61c | 8,003$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898.3 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…dea6backed No | 41c | 7,731$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.05 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 47c | 7,360$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.35 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes | 61c | 7,281$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 53c | 6,463$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.65 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 50c | 4,076$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.74 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 51c | 4,007$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.1 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 39c | 3,610$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.76 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 2,329$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.22 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 57c | 1,848$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.93 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…45acbacked Yes | 62c | 1,672$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.2 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 49c | 1,603$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.6 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 42c | 1,385$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.11 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Yes | 55c | 1,371$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.5 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 1,366$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.62 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 1,058$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.22 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 60c | 1,047$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.68 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…d7acbacked Yes | 54c | 1,011$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 43c | 988.86$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.12 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 59c | 947.99$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.31 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…9781backed Yes | 50c | 891.12$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.12 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 755$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 48c | 732.78$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.88 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Yes | 47c | 732$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.65 | 185 | 38.9%72 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 57c | 722.76$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.56 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 33c | 693.51$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.13 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 50c | 678.16$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.44 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 52c | 676.57$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.6 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 39c | 669.97$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.36 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 61c | 632.89$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.4 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 60c | 535.42$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.73 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 57c | 525.18$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 56c | 509.3$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.95 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked Yes | 49c | 501.65$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.41 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 500$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.7 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 36c | 495.69$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.79 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 44c | 486$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 459$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.72 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…bb43backed Yes | 71c | 441.74$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked Yes | 48c | 437.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.75 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 424.12$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.67 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…16abbacked Yes | 39c | 409.97$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…743abacked Yes | 36c | 405.38$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 41c | 400.16$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.11 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c0bbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 39c | 398.09$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.34 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 61c | 387.3$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.56 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 4c | 360$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 346.24$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.96 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 52c | 346$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.92 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e51…92bfbacked Yes | 51c | 327.36$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.41 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 326.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 52c | 320.13$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.84 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 64c | 317.14$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 53c | 294.32$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.42 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 53c | 274.35$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.54 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…db69backed Yes | 36c | 262.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…5a81backed Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed No | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 226.7$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d95…bd92backed Yes | 45c | 222.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 42c | 221.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 207.34$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…062abacked Yes | 50c | 201.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5107…4106backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…d3b2backed Yes | 55c | 184.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c2…1b0dbacked Yes | 63c | 158.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…266cbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 39c | 146.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…05aabacked No | 40c | 142$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 48c | 141.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…eef5backed Yes | 37c | 135.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…4913backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…f4f9backed Yes | 30c | 129.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes | 63c | 128.51$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 62c | 106.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…36f6backed Yes | 31c | 106.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…abd6backed Yes | 29c | 102.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +242.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 168 | 47%79 W · 89 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…cd48backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…8bfabacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…967cbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5089…9754backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 194 | 61.3%119 W · 75 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 54c | 99.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 15c | 98.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 55c | 97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?this page
- Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.