TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa328…4977

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,767
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT80560.6%488 W · 317 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 805 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.84
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.87
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$7.24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.88
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.92
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$25.6
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.92
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.62
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.17
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$25.68
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.54
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.8
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.8
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.03
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$21.42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$20.45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+179.2%+$82.8
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$38.7
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.64
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.94
Showing 25 of 805 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT18246.2%84 W · 98 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 182 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.34
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$20.24
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+155.1%+$43.17
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+142.3%+$24.66
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.17
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$200.54
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+213.2%+$589.34
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.29
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.29
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.51
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$42.9
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.79
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$342.21
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$90.9
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.98
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.04
Will Erling Haaland win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$23.19
Will Harry Kane win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.66
Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.15
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$502.5
Will England finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+170.6%+$60.07
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$227.69
Will the third-place match be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.96
Will Spain record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 182 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT14451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.22
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$69.56
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$29.01
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.43
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$39.8
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$48.64
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$26.27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.89
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+172.8%+$134.93
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.96
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.7
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.61
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$55.5
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$44.38
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$34.91
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+282.8%+$90.87
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$94.66
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.89
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$75.89
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.92
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$33.18
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.64
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT13243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.94
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.95
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.04
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$14.94
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.03
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$68.84
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.72
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$12.91
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$17.28
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$253.35
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$156.42
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.46
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.65
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$22.31
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.08
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.5
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$117.32
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.56
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$109.36
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.06
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33%+$288.34
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.64
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.19
Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.22
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.08
Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.76
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$85.74
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$90.78
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$127.09
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.93
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+155.7%+$222.18
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$97.65
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.88
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$85.13
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.63
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+192.3%+$205.18
Will 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will 4–5 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.48
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.48
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$208.11
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$38.31
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$45.5
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.24
Will "Toy Story 5" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.42
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will "Toy Story 5" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.89
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$637.46
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.39
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$63.9
Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$51.43
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.48
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$66.64
Will "Little Brother" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.04
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.15
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$28.1
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$42.6
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$89.46
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$37.91
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+32%+$77.45
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$127.98
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$51.15
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+82%+$26.55
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.51
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.04
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$44.8
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$42.71
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+199.5%+$129.42
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$92.98
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.91
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$26.2
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.34
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$34.09
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$12.1
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$207.83
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$153.01
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.71
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$69.3
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$9.04
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.78
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.05
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.23
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$457.72
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.79
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,183.04
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.32
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.79
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$94.3
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.91
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.65
Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.56
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.65
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$12.12
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.82
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,131.34
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+32%+$283.43
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,303Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$997.87
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$904.43
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+36%+$147.8
Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.98
Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.83
Will Western Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$14.95
L1ga Team to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$69.37
Team Spirit to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.25
PARIVISION to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$31.31
Team Yandex to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Virtus.pro vs Team Yandex: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$37.83
PARIVISION to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
REKONIX vs PARIVISION: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.05
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$194.62
Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$204.25
1win to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
LGD Gaming vs OG: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.31
Vici Gaming to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.21
Team Liquid vs Level UP: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$62.66
Team Yandex vs OG: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.73
Team Yandex to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$132.7
Team Nemesis to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19.11
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Music — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.25
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+154.4%+$409.69
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.92
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.43
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$117.7
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 200k and 225k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.45
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 225k and 250k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$299.84
Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.14
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$94.21
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$4.81
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+247.6%+$389.59
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31%+$123.05
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+137.2%+$304.02
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$158.03
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.41
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.35
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.79
Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.17
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$224.56
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$172.25
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+175.9%+$40.8
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.49
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+188.5%+$392.56
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be less than or equal to 1.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.5
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.61
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$389.75
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$277.81
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,067Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$502.85
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$505.73
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.01
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,559Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$567.79
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,556.81
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,384Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$916.75
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+189%+$58.19
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$22.41
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$24.02
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.46
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$16.27
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.05
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$77.77
All 22 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aarhus GF to score first vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.6
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.09
Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will SK Brann vs. FC Universitatea Cluj end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$6.43
Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,783Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$1,024.49
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$22.14
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$32.6
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.88
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.58
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$108.89
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.27
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$14.5
Will SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.56
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$18.16
Aston Villa FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
All 17 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.05
Will India win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.23
Will the match end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$163.75
Will Bangladesh win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.55
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+269.3%+$551.19
Will India win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.52
Will Zimbabwe win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
Will New Zealand win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.99
Will the match end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$129.36
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$258.32
Will India win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.47
Will Heinrich Klaasen win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+900%+$100
Will Bangladesh win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.49
Will the match end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$55.57
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals - Most Sixes Delhi Capitals Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.84
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.2
Will Sol1xd Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$44.8
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$50.31
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$66.3
Will Hanwha Life Esports Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$37.55
Will LCK Win LoL EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$126.95
Will Bilibili Gaming win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$111.81
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$148.82
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVPbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.23
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,163.96
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$1,025.46
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$279.87
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$98.81
All 15 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $150B and $200B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+129.4%+$22.77
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.9
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,621Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40%+$648
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.51
Will SpaceX IPO on June 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$43.55
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $2.75B and $3.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.63
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$35.6
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.75B and $4.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$24.03
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.57
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.12
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.55
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+164.2%+$33.47
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bridlington Town AFC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Liversedge FC vs. Ossett United FC: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Marske United FC vs. Boro Rangers FC: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Marske United FC vs. Boro Rangers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Tottenham Hotspur place 17th for the 2025-26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.07
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+199.1%+$30.77
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.78
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$13.16
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.59
Will Morgan Gibbs-White win English Premier League Player of the Month for April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.82
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+132.5%+$291.79
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.85
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$104.21
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,927Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,926.92
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.47
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$19.49
Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 3-1 through 4 games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.96
Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 2-1 through 3 games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 3-0 through 3 games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$102.78
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+151%+$1,821.8
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.27
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$291.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,553.91
Will there be exactly 6 games played during the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
Will there be exactly 7 games played during the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$40.25
Will there be exactly 5 games played during the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.77
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$179.9
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.09
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.55
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$45.34
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,371Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$1,319.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+54.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-56.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-47.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+48.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chesslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denis Lazavik Win EWC 2026 Chess?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$2.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vahn Lackey be drafted 3rd overall in the 2026 MLB Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.