South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce5b551bcfd83be65e84bc50de075431063ed9322b86023f984ea85fff6aff15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 5,415$3,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.69 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 75c | 4,788$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.44 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Yes | 30c | 3,247$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,989$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.73 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 25c | 1,815$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.13 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 16c | 1,731$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.25 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 79c | 1,716$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 74c | 1,666$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.77 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,420$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.94 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 26c | 953.91$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 33c | 577.68$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.8 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 19c | 528.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.45 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.98 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 32c | 401.67$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.38 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…c86cbacked No | 79c | 377.93$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 330.02$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.8 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 75c | 327.19$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd1…917ebacked Yes | 30c | 313.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42a…3078backed Yes | 17c | 281.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 22c | 256$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 248.68$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.15 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 164.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 64c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 76c | 104.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 32c | 104.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e1…982dbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 27c | 95.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 21c | 80.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff7…b686backed No | 33c | 79.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 45c | 78.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 32c | 70.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes | 36c | 69.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 58c | 66.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd886…c006backed Yes | 80c | 64.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 36c | 53.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 42c | 52.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 31c | 51.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 50.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 78c | 49.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 23c | 49.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…1faebacked Yes | 21c | 49.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…4c59backed Yes | 25c | 48.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 47c | 48.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 57c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 32c | 35.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 72c | 34.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 79c | 34.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No | 66c | 29.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed No | 79c | 22.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 79c | 20.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 54c | 19.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa063…338fbacked No | 80c | 16.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?this page
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.