TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ff7…b686

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 62 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.35per pick47cpaid+80.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.53
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.5
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$9.7
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$11.5
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+190.5%+$26.62
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$11.78
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$4.25
Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$8.48
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+325.8%+$65.18
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+174%+$125.03
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$29.62
Will Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Santos FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$5.18
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$15.13
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$11.33
Will Fluminense FC vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+228.6%+$26.53
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$8.51
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.35
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+64%+$6.72
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$172.56
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$158.18
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$264.12
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.86
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+97.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.03
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.57
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$164.24
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$358.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+361%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+361%+$49.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.