TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8488…588cbacked Yes39c20,210$7,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,805.988321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No52c18,094$9,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,604.732,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes38c13,981$5,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,308.793925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c13,510$9,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,107.692,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Yes53c12,393$6,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,568.08650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.982766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa7e…6f50backed No47c6,385$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,385.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes37c5,712$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.5914540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No61c5,272$3,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.2542250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c4,889$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.35,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c4,022$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.198,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No46c3,349$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.261,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes54c2,954$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.3721132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c2,910$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.233,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No29c2,676$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.826946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c2,239$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.741,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b69…a9f2backed Yes54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes37c1,820$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.444027.5%11 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes37c1,673$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.6718742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No58c1,463$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.461,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes37c1,248$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.961926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46818543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No61c1,123$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.691,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.998337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No62c999.98$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.378856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No43c913.04$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.0220053%106 W · 94 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked No63c900.48$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.181361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No61c900.31$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.3127349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Yes39c900$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No43c870.22$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.9821640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No63c839.2$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.0365058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No62c810.87$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.1314945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes46c782.39$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.4844843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No61c737.7$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.727549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb64…3a96backed Yes21c627.29$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No61c625.25$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.761,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2571…ac6bbacked Yes17c600.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes17c589.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011127%30 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c553$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.141,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a9…22cdbacked Yes54c529.98$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No63c500$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9718452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes66c499.38$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.41,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No63c419.56$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15741256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes55c410.95$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2410249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No45c401.82$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.623254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No64c399.98$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9912051.7%62 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No64c399.97$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9912741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes37c379$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2113049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No61c370.52$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.510467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes21c368.9$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.473324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes54c364.39$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.77825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes37c332.81$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2616740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ff7…b686backed Yes54c329.63$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No49c326.36$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.321090%9 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick61cpaid+50.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x377e…fb4bbacked Yes38c325.95$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes53c292.95$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.764744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes43c290.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.389645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Yes15c289.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435322.6%12 W · 41 L-9.0wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No47c288$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6422853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes72c281.28$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5557540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe803…0416backed Yes36c277.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002528%7 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No64c275.98$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3517055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15cc…bfaabacked Yes37c272.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+73.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No74c272.47$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.581,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Yes54c230.43$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.43560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No62c224.21$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.451,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No64c220.31$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.28855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Yes37c219.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No61c218$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.022,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes67c201.47$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13523044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No50c198.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.821252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-63.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd337…7564backed Yes38c184.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No63c180.39$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.745168.6%35 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b6…ddd5backed No63c180.1$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba14…2bb7backed Yes56c175.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+64.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes54c173.22$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.541921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No47c171.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8363657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes38c171.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes62c166.55$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.541,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2603…510bbacked Yes70c164.47$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Yes36c161$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.964247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No62c151.5$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.571,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No62c148.08$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.274969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d63…8302backed No63c147.38$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No21c142.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8615945.9%73 W · 86 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes9c135$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1548922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes54c130.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x58ff…2b2ebacked Yes37c125$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.251250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Yes80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No65c121.65$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6425955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No63c119.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes38c117.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.