TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72dd…4ef0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT4540%18 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.65
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$48.3
Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+231.9%+$109.93
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$41.86
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$53.18
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.61
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$47.33
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$41.66
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.73
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.22
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+82%+$188.7
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$70
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.38
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$60.97
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.54
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.28
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$200.77
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$134.07
Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$62.37
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.97
Will Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.43
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$45.13
Will Real Murcia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.91
Will Getafe CF win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.33
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$46.67
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$39.87
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+244.8%+$115.19
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+488.2%+$66.55
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18.34
Will Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+244.8%+$44.9
Will Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.48
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+278.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+278.9%+$122.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villanova Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.