TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$384,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$386,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes48c294,593$141,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,424.9429446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No53c50,000$26,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,5001650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No52c26,584$13,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,711.235543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No51c24,600$12,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5468643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed No51c23,330$11,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,898.481450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No49c22,794$11,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,1902,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No53c22,587$11,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,957.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c19,135$9,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,939.895,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No52c18,113$9,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,352.9442962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c15,296$7,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,929.233,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No53c14,817$7,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,853.2219952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No51c12,550$6,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,400.681650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c11,090$5,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,818.298,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No52c9,694$5,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,047.0765058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c9,403$4,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,881.452,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No52c9,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,68017055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c8,013$4,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,342.11,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes38c8,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9601361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick33cpaid+72.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No51c5,702$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.023167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No51c5,099$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.596357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No51c4,261$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1733148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No52c3,629$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.346350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No51c3,471$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.274852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…ea4fbacked Yes47c3,015$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c3,000$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6101,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked No20c3,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.993920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c2,238$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.641,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No49c2,043$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.2315247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked No52c2,033$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No55c1,791$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9851540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes48c1,378$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.0721844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No52c1,361$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.5513049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes53c1,354$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.686048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No33c1,303$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.781,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked No51c1,284$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked No51c1,231$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6283754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64823057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No18c1,105$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.439122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.7715945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No54c925.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No53c893.75$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.471,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes48c848.13$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.127047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No51c813.76$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.026056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes79c744.92$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.431,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No53c724.52$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.51,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No54c686.27$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.5810467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed No53c678.9$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76dc…012ebacked No51c589.41$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed No57c561.58$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No55c546.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No52c499.99$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.318452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No53c497$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.522,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff17…926dbacked Yes46c476.63$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No53c450.33$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.081,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5331745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No27c421.28$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0916740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No26c406$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20412741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed No52c398.77$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No21c393.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1821640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes80c330.58$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2323254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.158452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No53c303$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5330754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No38c300$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.935754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No53c296.69$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8312948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No52c295.14$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3710652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed No53c292.45$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1554643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No53c252.27$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9712755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c248.87$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.412,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No53c245$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.71,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No53c245$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.71,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yes46c216.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.956753.7%36 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes46c208.7$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.73948.7%19 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes49c203.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.582445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.217560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8a3…d13ebacked No56c196.2$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed No51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes45c188.87$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.881,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No54c182.65$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6333266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked No52c172.42$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.344463.6%28 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed Yes45c168.89$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.891030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes46c165.6$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No24c165.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8125044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2519963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No54c153.83$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.074969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c153.78$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.931,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Yes48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+102.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Yes47c142.47$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…c407backed No53c139.94$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed Yes45c139.79$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No55c134.68$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.089657.3%55 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c126.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.411,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked No51c121.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No24c120.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.911,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.