South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c1672133a1b051beb6ca776b4c51b994b787a134da2e0f1a8c1891affe32040
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 5,062$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.45 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 2,935$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.65 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 75c | 2,043$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.95 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 32c | 1,726$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.6 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 27c | 1,534$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.18 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 520$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.4 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 504.66$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 436.6$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 368.02$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 71c | 333.73$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 75c | 208.76$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed No | 56c | 181.34$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 33c | 163.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 33c | 153$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 33c | 151.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 73c | 117.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 113.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 27c | 102.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Yes | 32c | 86.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 27c | 81.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 73c | 74.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 75c | 69.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Yes | 27c | 66.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…2b2ebacked Yes | 28c | 55.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 52.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 50.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 27c | 38.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…a471backed No | 74c | 33.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…ad9bbacked Yes | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.