South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bc29a4056ce3f50b22a431152d9313e3ce77b49db18f40d891871958a04f547
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 29c | 10,500$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.99 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 6,013$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.26 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 29c | 2,135$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.63 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 71c | 1,910$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.78 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 1,618$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.64 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 71c | 1,497$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.13 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,135$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.04 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 1,075$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.87 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 29c | 960.08$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.71 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 938.48$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.25 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 30c | 680.4$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.65 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 644.3$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.85 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 71c | 644.28$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.84 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 71c | 548.25$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 408.55$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 370.78$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 291.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 73c | 274.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed Yes | 30c | 249.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…7336backed Yes | 27c | 233.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 71c | 156.89$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 72c | 142.26$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 15c | 142.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 135.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d4…16a1backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 71c | 122.81$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 71c | 117.26$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 15c | 114.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 30c | 113.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…208ebacked Yes | 27c | 110.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 72c | 102.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 101.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876a…7e40backed Yes | 23c | 96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 15c | 94.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…4bb0backed Yes | 29c | 81.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 29c | 80.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 16c | 79.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…434ebacked Yes | 27c | 77.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…96ffbacked Yes | 20c | 75.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…583ebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 28c | 67.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 65.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 71c | 61.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 72c | 58.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…2b2ebacked Yes | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…0b92backed Yes | 29c | 54.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 28c | 47.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…d0ddbacked No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 75c | 21.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked No | 75c | 20.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 78c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…c024backed No | 75c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 75c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 76c | 14.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.