TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed7b…7b92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Weather, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT4065%26 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$104.87
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.52
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$29.54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$6.16
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.23
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.65
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$35.3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$124.21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.89
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.61
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$31.7
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+48%+$13.4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$130.97
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$16.67
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$20.76
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.43
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$51.15
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$192.23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.48
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+125.5%+$125.34
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.94
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$7.15
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.73
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.27
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.15
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.96
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.59
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.55
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$34.3
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.35
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.34
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.43
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$97.36
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,405.82
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,587.61
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.8
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$134.99
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.3
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$91.8
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.21
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.26
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+208.1%+$738.46
Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.58
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.99
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.25
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.09
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick72cpaid-73%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,668.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.