NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5f10c839e470fe9d07575d8351021b79bd91070f63c2f92771799540fe2cdab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $776,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $816,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $776,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Lakers | 47c | 401,180$188,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,554.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 53c | 163,038$86,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,813.83 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder | 53c | 150,000$79,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,499.99 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Thunder | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,199.95 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Thunder | 52c | 58,533$30,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,255.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 46c | 57,967$26,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,824.78 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 54c | 43,149$23,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,940.95 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 48c | 42,801$20,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,728.1 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 57c | 19,424$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,424.31 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 46c | 15,905$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.23 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Lakers | 47c | 14,173$6,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,661.33 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 54c | 12,795$6,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.55 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lakers | 49c | 10,529$5,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,164.26 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Lakers | 47c | 9,043$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Lakers | 39c | 8,143$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.8 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder | 51c | 7,850$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.4 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Thunder | 55c | 7,457$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.8 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 42c | 6,963$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…307cbacked Thunder | 54c | 6,660$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Thunder | 54c | 6,211$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.26 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Thunder | 53c | 6,009$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.55 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 54c | 5,796$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.29 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Thunder | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Thunder | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Thunder | 52c | 4,956$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d97…f263backed Thunder | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cc…791fbacked Thunder | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Lakers | 50c | 3,872$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.04 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 53c | 3,732$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Thunder | 54c | 3,710$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.6 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 53c | 3,528$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 53c | 3,200$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.18 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Lakers | 46c | 3,041$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.83 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Lakers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Lakers | 48c | 2,900$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.93 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Lakers | 47c | 2,488$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Thunder | 54c | 2,231$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.16 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,220$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.4 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Thunder | 51c | 2,016$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.35 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lakers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Thunder | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,889$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Lakers | 47c | 1,864$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.38 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Thunder | 45c | 1,570$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.85 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,546$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,536$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.22 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Thunder | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Thunder | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Thunder | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.55 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 51c | 1,335$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.15 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Lakers | 47c | 1,233$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.8 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Thunder | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 54c | 1,094$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.77 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Thunder | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…b40dbacked Lakers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…4c3abacked Lakers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Lakers | 43c | 983.4$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.73 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lakers | 49c | 921$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.94 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Thunder | 53c | 885.71$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.34 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Lakers | 42c | 874.22$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.74 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Thunder | 53c | 862$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.21 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…bf84backed Thunder | 59c | 853.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers | 49c | 835.04$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.17 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…f828backed Thunder | 55c | 796.99$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Thunder | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Thunder | 53c | 754.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 71c | 748.59$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Thunder | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Thunder | 54c | 703.7$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.7 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…7e96backed Thunder | 53c | 654.39$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.56 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Thunder | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Thunder | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lakers | 47c | 639$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lakers | 50c | 620.59$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.68 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Lakers | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Lakers | 51c | 578.45$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.07 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Thunder | 53c | 570.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Lakers | 51c | 570.06$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.4 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Lakers | 51c | 547.83$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.39 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Thunder | 54c | 527.24$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.92 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Lakers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Thunder | 54c | 481.65$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.69 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…2711backed Lakers | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lakers | 56c | 441$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.97 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Thunder | 52c | 427.96$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Lakers | 47c | 425.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Thunder | 53c | 425.53$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…b3dcbacked Thunder | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a60…211ebacked Thunder | 54c | 420.15$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…20e0backed Thunder | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Thunder | 44c | 411.7$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.9 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…7a6abacked Lakers | 48c | 411.52$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Thunder | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Lakers | 51c | 398.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.48 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.