NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1f3c8115c6145f1c2bde3328ce1a21e89d0dd00385667cdf76bfb89a993e00b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Lakers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,617,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,829,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,617,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 990 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Lakers | 14c | 1,457,599$204,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204,063.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Lakers | 13c | 596,382$76,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,449.02 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 14c | 506,391$69,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,589.07 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Lakers | 13c | 358,191$45,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,130.65 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 12c | 333,978$39,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,588.1 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Lakers | 14c | 242,763$32,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,832.92 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Lakers | 9c | 109,764$9,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,707.97 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Lakers | 0c | 100,178$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.84 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Lakers | 12c | 97,015$11,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,973.83 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Lakers | 14c | 74,000$10,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,359.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Lakers | 15c | 70,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Lakers | 12c | 70,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.97 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Lakers | 13c | 69,995$9,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,099.31 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Lakers | 13c | 56,729$7,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,307.45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Lakers | 13c | 51,224$6,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480f…c911backed Lakers | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 13c | 40,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Lakers | 11c | 40,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Lakers | 1c | 34,231$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.17 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 15c | 32,719$4,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907.81 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Lakers | 15c | 30,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lakers | 12c | 29,106$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.59 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Lakers | 2c | 28,566$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.6 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Lakers | 1c | 25,250$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.44 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…1eebbacked Lakers | 15c | 25,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…83dcbacked Lakers | 15c | 24,150$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,622.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Lakers | 13c | 22,545$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Lakers | 14c | 16,925$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.44 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Lakers | 1c | 16,700$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.38 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Lakers | 1c | 15,531$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Lakers | 10c | 13,961$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.11 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Lakers | 14c | 13,691$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d215backed Lakers | 15c | 13,361$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…17a3backed Lakers | 1c | 12,646$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lakers | 1c | 12,540$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lakers | 0c | 11,930$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lakers | 9c | 11,378$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.98 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Lakers | 10c | 11,325$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.6 | 331 | 39.3%130 W · 201 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Lakers | 1c | 10,934$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 11c | 10,350$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0528…424bbacked Lakers | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…5ba2backed Lakers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17c4…02fdbacked Lakers | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Lakers | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Lakers | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Lakers | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Lakers | 11c | 9,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Lakers | 15c | 9,101$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Lakers | 11c | 8,653$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.17 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…9e7cbacked Lakers | 15c | 8,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…89a0backed Lakers | 5c | 8,443$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.5 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Lakers | 15c | 8,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Lakers | 19c | 7,851$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.37 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lakers | 12c | 7,845$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.89 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Lakers | 13c | 7,777$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.01 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…bef7backed Lakers | 10c | 7,719$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.02 | 146 | 26.7%39 W · 107 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Lakers | 13c | 7,613$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.18 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…f4e8backed Lakers | 14c | 7,583$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Lakers | 13c | 7,490$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.65 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Lakers | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers | 10c | 6,882$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.39 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Lakers | 15c | 6,709$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.53 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Lakers | 12c | 6,660$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.8 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Lakers | 12c | 6,582$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.84 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Lakers | 1c | 6,502$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Lakers | 10c | 6,450$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Lakers | 14c | 6,429$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…a270backed Lakers | 14c | 5,853$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.48 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Lakers | 14c | 5,800$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…bfb8backed Lakers | 14c | 5,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Lakers | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Lakers | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726a…7103backed Lakers | 12c | 5,372$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7998…0db9backed Lakers | 1c | 5,360$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Lakers | 16c | 5,333$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.26 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…8e0bbacked Lakers | 15c | 5,057$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Lakers | 12c | 5,038$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.56 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Lakers | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Lakers | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Lakers | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Lakers | 12c | 4,875$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Lakers | 14c | 4,808$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Lakers | 15c | 4,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…5222backed Lakers | 2c | 4,661$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Lakers | 0c | 4,657$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…5bd7backed Lakers | 1c | 4,600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Lakers | 3c | 4,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Lakers | 14c | 4,410$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.52 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Lakers | 14c | 4,286$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…7b13backed Lakers | 14c | 4,173$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…4911backed Lakers | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Lakers | 14c | 4,166$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.68 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Lakers | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…5318backed Lakers | 15c | 3,984$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Lakers | 1c | 3,933$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Lakers | 12c | 3,886$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…3ef9backed Lakers | 12c | 3,821$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.48 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Lakers | 16c | 3,746$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Lakers | 15c | 3,613$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.99 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.