TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Lakers, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,617,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,829,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,617,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 990 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c80…02c3backed Lakers14c1,457,599$204,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204,063.881030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Lakers13c596,382$76,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,449.029745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers14c506,391$69,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,589.0785742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Lakers13c358,191$45,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,130.6564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers12c333,978$39,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,588.166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Lakers14c242,763$32,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,832.9224831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Lakers9c109,764$9,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,707.978035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed Lakers0c100,178$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.84614.9%3 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba9…f183backed Lakers12c97,015$11,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,973.832227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Lakers14c74,000$10,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,359.993036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Lakers15c70,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,50017553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Lakers12c70,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,199.9727424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed Lakers13c69,995$9,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,099.313839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Lakers13c56,729$7,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,307.451618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-68.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea6b…5ac2backed Lakers13c51,224$6,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,719.151533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480f…c911backed Lakers0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers13c40,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2001,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Lakers11c40,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4004951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Lakers1c34,231$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.173179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers15c32,719$4,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,907.8136549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Lakers15c30,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5006240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lakers12c29,106$3,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,567.5962144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Lakers2c28,566$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.646426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Lakers1c25,250$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.445213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ac…1eebbacked Lakers15c25,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…83dcbacked Lakers15c24,150$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,622.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Lakers13c22,545$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0207115.5%11 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Lakers14c16,925$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.443748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Lakers1c16,700$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3878445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Lakers1c15,531$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.17211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Lakers10c13,961$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.1146342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Lakers14c13,691$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.673943.6%17 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x919e…d215backed Lakers15c13,361$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.992729.6%8 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf50…17a3backed Lakers1c12,646$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Lakers1c12,540$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10767911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Lakers0c11,930$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.485502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Lakers9c11,378$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.9836023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Lakers10c11,325$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.633139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Lakers1c10,934$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.278923.6%21 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers11c10,350$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.991,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0528…424bbacked Lakers13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3006550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb1f…5ba2backed Lakers0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17c4…02fdbacked Lakers14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Lakers14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40014244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Lakers11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Lakers10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Lakers11c9,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015387.9%3 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Lakers15c9,101$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.15911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Lakers11c8,653$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.1761336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d5…9e7cbacked Lakers15c8,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2753834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dc2…89a0backed Lakers5c8,443$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.57830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Lakers15c8,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+59.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Lakers19c7,851$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.3720352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lakers12c7,845$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.891,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Lakers13c7,777$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.018348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…bef7backed Lakers10c7,719$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.0214626.7%39 W · 107 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Lakers13c7,613$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.185813.8%8 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid+40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f20…f4e8backed Lakers14c7,583$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Lakers13c7,490$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.657656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Lakers14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028056.4%158 W · 122 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers10c6,882$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.3993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Lakers15c6,709$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.5312756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Lakers12c6,660$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.820537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Lakers12c6,582$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.843158.1%18 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+62.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc229…dbeabacked Lakers1c6,502$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Lakers10c6,450$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62620434.8%71 W · 133 L+0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Lakers14c6,429$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc741…a270backed Lakers14c5,853$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.483834.2%13 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Lakers14c5,800$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8125335.8%19 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d64…bfb8backed Lakers14c5,600$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96dd…17febacked Lakers18c5,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008661.6%53 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Lakers0c5,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x726a…7103backed Lakers12c5,372$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7998…0db9backed Lakers1c5,360$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked Lakers16c5,333$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.266248.4%30 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7253…8e0bbacked Lakers15c5,057$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4642…21d3backed Lakers12c5,038$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.5613555.6%75 W · 60 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Lakers14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011939.5%47 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Lakers12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60025947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Lakers11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55022039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…b8f7backed Lakers12c4,875$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Lakers14c4,808$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65022036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Lakers15c4,667$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa131…5222backed Lakers2c4,661$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.781216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Lakers0c4,657$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64f7…5bd7backed Lakers1c4,600$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236540%26 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers11c4,545$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Lakers3c4,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Lakers14c4,410$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.5265939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Lakers14c4,286$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e96…7b13backed Lakers14c4,173$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03fa…4911backed Lakers12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005024%12 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Lakers14c4,166$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.689851%50 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Lakers15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009649%47 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6911…5318backed Lakers15c3,984$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.422653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ee…1391backed Lakers1c3,933$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Lakers12c3,886$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47810155.4%56 W · 45 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ac7…3ef9backed Lakers12c3,821$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.482236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Lakers16c3,746$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5939220.7%19 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Lakers15c3,613$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.9919937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.