TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0dc2…89a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Movies, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT7830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+214%+$214.04
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.65
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.25
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.2
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.76
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$83.56
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$214
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.35
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.5
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.5
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,242Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$357.29
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+410.4%+$496.62
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$320.96
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Ozzy Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$77.26
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.99
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Vince Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jonathan Micallef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Michael Aswell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Michael Page win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ricky Turcios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cody Durden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris: Taylah Preston vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Taylah Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$59.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.