TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,979,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,135,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,979,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 633 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes0c1,330,373$5,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,953.711315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Yes1c993,062$6,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,132.0819754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c904,022$4,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,983.4439435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes1c791,564$7,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,040.792010%2 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-25.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c503,627$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.588827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes1c480,532$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.0895641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes0c405,111$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.071910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+58.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes1c393,146$3,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.841,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad7…7608backed Yes1c308,584$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.531816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+68.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes0c305,343$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.93130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes0c267,000$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80118140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c261,014$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.6640133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes0c183,041$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.576619.7%13 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c28…9e49backed Yes1c176,178$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9331942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c174,350$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.5346426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c39…b7a6backed Yes1c160,449$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280.3650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Yes1c155,501$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.4482442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes1c154,221$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.2887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes1c150,117$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.97417.3%3 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c147,290$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.69590%0 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes1c141,856$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.32931%9 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes1c141,305$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08242827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Yes1c126,472$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.722642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72c2…7390backed Yes1c123,093$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.73633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes2c118,246$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.8884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes1c110,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes1c103,780$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.2372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes0c100,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0015…d5b0backed Yes0c98,644$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-70.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc814…bc1ebacked Yes0c95,752$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd458…b521backed Yes1c94,852$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.53056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Yes1c87,015$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.189733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes1c84,211$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.2982440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes1c82,087$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.51646.3%4 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe381…3ba9backed Yes0c81,470$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.142615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-64%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x469c…309bbacked Yes1c77,871$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.03110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes1c70,135$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.9515911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes2c70,000$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.593129%9 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b98…537ebacked Yes1c69,979$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.271040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+115.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Yes0c69,899$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.32416.7%4 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Yes1c68,415$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.0619747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c67,701$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed Yes2c65,150$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.074327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa324…afc9backed Yes1c63,589$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.63180%0 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…d873backed Yes1c61,265$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.03911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+215.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd859…c7c2backed Yes1c58,509$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.511816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-44.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes1c56,960$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.87378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a7…d725backed Yes2c56,325$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77a3…7deebacked Yes0c52,929$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.31728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick8cpaid+425%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7d…ed6abacked Yes2c51,949$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.0550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509628.1%27 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes1c50,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Yes1c50,000$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.9710049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Yes1c48,956$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.5612529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd82…342bbacked Yes0c46,036$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.262941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Yes1c43,342$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.44042.5%17 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Yes3c42,256$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.231625%4 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebae…fb79backed Yes2c41,631$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.551421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes1c40,058$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.6112229.5%36 W · 86 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa98d…dff6backed Yes1c39,240$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.321711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-77.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes0c39,078$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.311,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…dd60backed Yes0c37,622$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes1c37,351$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.0311245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x381d…fedebacked Yes2c35,700$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-0.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99a…0b26backed Yes1c34,261$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-74%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes1c33,871$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.4256945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe31…1113backed Yes2c33,000$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc8…e458backed Yes2c31,470$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5308634.9%30 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes2c31,397$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.439618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Yes1c30,000$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18814746.9%69 W · 78 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Yes1c29,981$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8814738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes2c29,877$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.812020%4 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c0…e44bbacked Yes1c29,806$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.797443.2%32 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes1c27,387$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.323718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c26,853$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.882,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x263b…853dbacked Yes0c26,667$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Yes1c25,905$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6218628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e0…3a93backed Yes1c25,707$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2589214.1%13 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd061…1aafbacked Yes3c25,115$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes0c24,019$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfb…dffabacked Yes2c22,751$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.671010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes1c22,675$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.75650%3 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+170.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0773…8727backed Yes1c22,023$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf15e…2eefbacked Yes1c21,974$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2781526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes1c21,513$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4831347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b58…eb2bbacked Yes1c21,070$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2970%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes1c21,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17553951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes0c21,000$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574314%6 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid+85.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes2c20,272$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.9616339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes2c20,198$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.296820.6%14 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e4…361abacked Yes1c20,170$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8560%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes1c19,444$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.35730%0 W · 73 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes3c18,782$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.9411743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32f9…9725backed Yes1c18,418$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21812753.5%68 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes1c17,548$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.01422.4%1 W · 41 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-17.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes1c17,305$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1984.1%4 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a1…e99fbacked Yes2c17,262$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8f…722bbacked Yes0c17,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick12cpaid-29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x604a…d5f8backed Yes0c16,814$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+324.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcffa…23b6backed Yes1c16,783$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.