NBA · resolved market
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfda648d24cdad32dfe959195bd75ef4c81fbea5130eb6c7a4a0c18607a11ce63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,381,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,623,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,381,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 504 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,995,395$11,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,221.51 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 1,621,089$7,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,148.31 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 1c | 666,455$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.96 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 591,338$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.94 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 1c | 458,182$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.68 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 411,074$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.77 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…5d96backed Yes | 0c | 386,757$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…5df4backed Yes | 1c | 294,248$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 1c | 222,676$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 1c | 213,618$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Yes | 1c | 182,971$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…2c36backed Yes | 1c | 157,980$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Yes | 0c | 150,298$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.89 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 0c | 140,218$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.05 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 1c | 136,262$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.71 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 133,671$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.62 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked Yes | 0c | 125,784$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.31 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 125,760$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.8 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…5cbabacked Yes | 0c | 117,073$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Yes | 1c | 100,967$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.19 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Yes | 0c | 99,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 1c | 96,159$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ba…cdb3backed Yes | 1c | 93,576$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa3…6e41backed Yes | 0c | 93,450$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 91,849$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Yes | 1c | 91,240$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.27 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…dff6backed Yes | 0c | 81,399$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.1 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…d26fbacked Yes | 0c | 77,768$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.07 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Yes | 1c | 74,815$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b6…7456backed Yes | 1c | 71,879$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +281.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 65,558$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.52 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 0c | 65,350$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.05 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…ed5ebacked Yes | 1c | 64,218$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 1c | 60,782$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.16 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 1c | 56,786$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.19 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…39e6backed Yes | 1c | 50,999$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Yes | 0c | 50,405$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.67 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 1c | 48,717$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 0c | 48,039$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 1c | 47,413$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.89 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…fbe2backed Yes | 1c | 43,626$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 0c | 43,505$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.4 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 0c | 43,130$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f2…13fbbacked Yes | 1c | 43,109$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes | 0c | 42,763$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 2c | 40,985$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.3 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…354cbacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…afc9backed Yes | 0c | 39,516$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.15 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd72…7018backed Yes | 0c | 36,513$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…97f7backed Yes | 0c | 35,478$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9517…e176backed Yes | 0c | 34,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…c575backed Yes | 1c | 33,534$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…ef26backed Yes | 0c | 32,500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…2d59backed Yes | 0c | 31,750$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 25cpaid | +232.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 1c | 31,111$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.5 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…c903backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…3bcabacked Yes | 0c | 29,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc574…b9dabacked Yes | 1c | 28,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…7cedbacked Yes | 1c | 27,316$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 27,271$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.43 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…3d12backed Yes | 1c | 27,254$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 0c | 27,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…a72abacked Yes | 1c | 26,915$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 1c | 26,236$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.25 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes | 0c | 26,230$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes | 1c | 25,931$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 0c | 25,900$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 1c | 25,178$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 1c | 25,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb5…11babacked Yes | 1c | 24,064$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…71e6backed Yes | 0c | 22,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 1c | 21,899$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 1c | 21,880$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 73 | 0%0 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Yes | 0c | 21,500$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Yes | 1c | 21,040$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.36 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…17c5backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688d…1601backed Yes | 1c | 20,971$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…f809backed Yes | 1c | 20,797$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8283backed Yes | 1c | 20,201$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…fe53backed Yes | 1c | 20,008$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 1cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…f340backed Yes | 1c | 20,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…3283backed Yes | 0c | 19,474$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b8…9164backed Yes | 1c | 19,162$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 1c | 19,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…722bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,971$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 12cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…e44bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,605$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad0…d506backed Yes | 1c | 18,563$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d4…932cbacked Yes | 1c | 18,552$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…feb6backed Yes | 7c | 18,409$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Yes | 1c | 18,400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…8c39backed Yes | 0c | 18,345$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b78…9065backed Yes | 1c | 18,264$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…91aabacked Yes | 1c | 18,240$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f1…bab7backed Yes | 1c | 17,682$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0a8bbacked Yes | 1c | 17,667$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d2…7333backed Yes | 0c | 17,317$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.