TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6747…a64f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 57 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will Natus Vincere Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Astralis Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Liquid Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will s1mple retire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$196.54
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,582.5%+$3,987.62
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,629.75
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.03
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.03
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.17
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.66
Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.47
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.9
Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+157.2%+$1,019.81
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-34.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.25
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+562.5%+$5,010.6
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,085.01
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$205.44
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$48.4
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.16
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,118.17
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.92
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.8
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,174.11
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.79
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.2
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.67
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.31
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$623.5
Will Nickeil Alexander-Walker win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.72
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.2
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$144.99
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+624.6%+$2,586
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$268
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$170
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$167.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$7,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,591.48
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$992
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$123.75
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.97
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.59
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.1
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.4
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.4
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$214.05
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$505
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$221
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeremiyah Love go top 10 in the 2026 Pro Football draft? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$22.46
Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Tua Tagovailoa traded by next season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Stefon Diggs suspended this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$745.23
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+219.4%+$2,328.62
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
Will Puka Nacua win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.63
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42.24
Will Garett Bolles win the NFL Protector of the Year? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.14
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,265.17
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$409.45
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30.24
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$37.52
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$153.48
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25%+$10
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$282
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$139.2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$553.01
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$294
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$421.2
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,924
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$34.19
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31%+$284
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+30.7%+$23.5
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.8%+$110
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+71.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$107
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+151.9%+$18.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$456
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$248
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.