Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0c0f62a747be28db30fb9a7841cd2124a212529503b4e8b45e390afbc2542e6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,759 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed No	26c	3,002$786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,215.32	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x73c2…3a29backed Yes	78c	1,105$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes	74c	1,020$754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753.93	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a0…7e0abacked No	26c	899.99$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.99	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes	69c	840$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.6	96	43.8%42 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa63f…4f7bbacked Yes	76c	795.62$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.7	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-73%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e65…11f3backed Yes	76c	659$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No	20c	561.07$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.35	210	63.3%133 W · 77 L	+27.4wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf658…dcfebacked No	26c	450.31$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.23	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+27%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes	73c	350.97$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.08	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	22c	341.1$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.29	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a08…c2e6backed No	28c	299$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.58	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No	26c	278.58$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.7	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+7.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb57a…5cfcbacked Yes	72c	277.22$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc217…8701backed Yes	75c	267.14$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	57cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed Yes	76c	259.42$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.8	133	72.9%97 W · 36 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes	71c	244.05$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.31	293	38.2%112 W · 181 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked No	27c	200$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0af8…8973backed Yes	74c	183.33$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	59	66.1%39 W · 20 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbd…9d9ebacked Yes	75c	179$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.25	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	27c	142.2$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.81	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db5…ca02backed No	31c	129.03$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.03	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes	73c	115.33$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.06	359	54%194 W · 165 L	+20.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked Yes	74c	100$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f32…583fbacked Yes	73c	99.99$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.99	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f3e…5337backed Yes	71c	99.99$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.99	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes	73c	97.29$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.91	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	27c	84.2$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.31	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacd1…fc34backed No	41c	78.6$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	74c	73$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.88	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed No	28c	71.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.25	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x550c…1e1abacked Yes	75c	60$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.75per pick	75cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked No	25c	59.64$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.72	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked Yes	71c	55$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.16	108	53.7%58 W · 50 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes	60c	51.56$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.76	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	72c	50$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8162…6ffebacked No	27c	50$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.73per pick	27cpaid	+270.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf45…5903backed Yes	75c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf3…68aebacked Yes	69c	49.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.7	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	58cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	27c	42.28$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.99	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	72c	41$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.52	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes	73c	40$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	+5.5wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+20%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes	56c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-4.3wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes	67c	39.98$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.78	104	54.8%57 W · 47 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb988…1297backed Yes	73c	33.63$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.62	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c4f…e321backed Yes	74c	33.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.58	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3575…75ccbacked Yes	75c	28.37$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	78cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9768…9908backed Yes	75c	26.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.77	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+130.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	75c	21$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd7c…e0e3backed Yes	73c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f4…04d4backed Yes	74c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	74c	16.34$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event