TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ded…9025

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
891
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 73 out of 100 (+0.21 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 73 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT24837.5%93 W · 155 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 248 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovicbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Carole Monnetbacked Carole Monnet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$107.9
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$22.42
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alexis Galarneau vs Federico Cinabacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Istanbul: Daniel Michalski vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
ITF Monastir: Nicolas Tepmahc vs Rocco Valentebacked Rocco Valente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Suzan Lamensbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs Anton Matusevichbacked Anton Matusevich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Michael Zhengbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Sinja Kraus vs Anna-Lena Friedsambacked Anna-Lena Friedsam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Istanbul: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Darwin Blanchbacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovicbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$32.99
Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsenbacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Showing 25 of 248 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT21063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 210 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will the announcers say "Appeal" or "Appealed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.99
Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$40.9
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$40.5
Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$31.8
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.74
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
Will the announcers say "What a Strike" or "What a Finish" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$40.63
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will the announcers say "Legacy" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.7
Will the announcers say "Zlatan" or "Ibrahimovic" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.6
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+700%+$770
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$57.6
Will the announcers say "Bench" or "Benches" 7+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$25.96
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.3
Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.49
Will the announcers say "Own Goal" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$34.46
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.18
Will the announcers say "Transition" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$64.44
Will the announcers say "Penalty Kick" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Showing 25 of 210 picks, newest first.
Earningslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT9851%50 W · 48 L+10.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Earnings — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Home Depot say "Lumber" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Will Uber say "Market Share" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.96
Will Disney say "Toy Story 5" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will Uber say "Safety" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$58.27
Will Uber say "Delivery" 10+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Spotify say "Premium" 20+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Spotify say "World Cup" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will Spotify say "Fitness" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.4
Will Spotify say "Playlist" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Will Palantir say "Healthcare" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.8
Will Palantir say "Warp Speed" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Apple say "GPU / CPU" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.57
Will Apple say "Streaming" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.78
Will Amazon say "Third Party Seller" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will Apple say "Health" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.22
Will Apple say "Sport" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+164%+$78.46
Will Apple say "AirPod" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.33
Will Apple say "Home" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$20.76
Will Apple say "iCloud" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$58.4
Will Amazon say "Middle East" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+525%+$67.2
Will Apple say "Roadmap" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.46
Will Apple say "Tariff" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$46.16
Will Amazon say "Tariff" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Will Microsoft say "Excel" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.85
Will Meta say "Cloud" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST8839.8%35 W · 53 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+141.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be greater than 16,000,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$45.37
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 15,500,000 and 16,000,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30.11
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–45.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.93
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+948.3%+$1,836.57
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111.8
Will Trump say "Working Class" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$23
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Trump say "ICE" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30.6
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.6
Will Trump say "Pacific" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$72.8
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$26.06
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+150%+$36
Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 44.5 on October 17 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.13
Will Trump say "Thank you" 7+ times during announcement today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$81.6
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.77
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$118.94
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$16
Will Trump say "Tariff" during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.51
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$16.22
Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+125.6%+$53.67
Will Trump say Hell during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.62
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT5619.6%11 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+32.2%+$15.18
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.2%+$15.99
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+30%+$67
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+99.2%+$99.6
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.13
Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$92.14
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Chase Infiniti be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will "Venezuela" or "Maduro" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+230.1%+$55.3
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29.4
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$82.49
Will "Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.47
Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.72
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 28m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.77
Will "Soul on Fire" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.58
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 36m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.34
Will "Soul on Fire" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.86
Will "Soul on Fire" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.12
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.82
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 36m and 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.56
Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.08
Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.3
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.79
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT5349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will Powell say "Percent" 20+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$57.6
Will Powell say "Food" or "Energy" 3+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.05
Will Powell say "Gold" or "Oil" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$116.4
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.14
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$115.44
Will Powell say "Projection" 5+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Powell say "Edging" 3+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+46.9%+$40.84
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.18
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+101.6%+$132.07
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+30.8%+$49.5
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$114.8
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$19.2
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.07
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$104
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$231.11
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$79.2
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$57.2
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.4
Will Trump say "Detroit Economic Club" this week? (January 25)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+103.4%+$30.5
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$26.4
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+493.6%+$216.19
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+249.5%+$185.6
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+525%+$285.56
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$33
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" 20+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.33
Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+203%+$38.33
Will Netanyahu say "Human Shield" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.29
Will Netanyahu say "Trump" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.76
Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+93.4%+$201.61
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.56
US strike on Iran on June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+44.7%+$24.7
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.6
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.46
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+101.7%+$133.8
Iran strike on Israel in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$271.93
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.74
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+137.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$175.34
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Starmer say "Honorable" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$77.2
Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$19.31
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+328.1%+$214.6
Will Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.58
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32.59
Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+84%+$52.48
Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Will Starmer say "National Security" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+804.5%+$89.63
Will Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.47
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+174.2%+$21.6
Will Trump say "Roof" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.76
Will Trump say "Greenland" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$19.6
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.86
Will Trump say "Steel" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.3
All 19 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+41.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.29
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21.41
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.87
F1 Hungarian GP: Alonso vs. Stroll backed Stroll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$297.71
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+1,011.1%+$139.53
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.2
F1 Austrian Grand Prix: Red Bull vs. Mercedesbacked Mercedes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Piastri vs. Norris backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+80.9%+$66.73
Leclerc vs. Russellbacked Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.68
Hamilton vs. Leclercbacked Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.1
Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.56
Norris vs. Piastribacked Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.84
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+702.2%+$159.75
Will Trump attend F1 Miami GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$26.64
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.34per pick38cpaid+108.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+266.7%+$49.37
Will Jensen Huang say "Hyperscaler" or "Hyperscale" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+644.7%+$166.67
Will Jensen Huang say "Quantum" 5+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+138.1%+$34.8
Will Jensen Huang say "Human Robot" or "Human Robotic" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+358.2%+$175.86
Will Jensen Huang say "Taiwan" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+97.1%+$33.38
Will Jensen Huang say "Self-Driving" 3+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$64.14
Will Jensen Huang say "Happy New Year" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$313.34
Will anyone say "India" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$21.97
Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+208.8%+$269.76
Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+39.4%+$33.59
Will anyone say "Battery" 5+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$17.22
Will anyone say "Next Generation" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.02
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+76.8%+$91.51
All 14 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+92.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+54.2%+$52.7
Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+78.3%+$59.25
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+97.6%+$25.18
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+138.1%+$15.8
Will Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+325.6%+$122.41
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36.98
Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Will Trump say "Too Late" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+43.1%+$27.1
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+687.7%+$152.93
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24
Will Trump say "Very Merry Christmas" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+70.8%+$43.14
Will Trump say "ISIS" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$18.6
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Donald Trump say "two weeks" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.94
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Donald Trump say "referendum" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.26
Will Donald Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25.9
Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Trump say "Mineral" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.94
Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$43.2
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+150%+$72
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+166.3%+$41.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1291.7%11 W · 1 L+7.7wins+0.65per pick27cpaid+327.5%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$140.8
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$29.55
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+126%+$145.17
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+237%+$43.32
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$168
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+356.1%+$203
Will Trump say "Soybean" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+642.8%+$264.2
Will Trump say "Mineral" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+354.7%+$78.46
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+103.4%+$72.2
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+439.8%+$171.09
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$164
Trump x Xi talk before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.69
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be at least 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$41
Will The Fall-Off by J. Cole be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.49
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be less than 150k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+65.1%+$98.26
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+88.3%+$70.35
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49%+$16.45
Will "Taylor" be said at the Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.8
Will "Super Bowl" be said at the Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.76
Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) by KPop Demon Hunters Cast be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Will Taylor Swift say "Marry" or "Married" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$5.22
Will Taylor Swift say "Eras Tour" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+80.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.