TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Zlatan" or "Ibrahimovic" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf797…0bf2backed No22c935.42$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8612534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes73c654.54$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7913044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8251…879dbacked No26c596.86$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1539723.7%23 W · 74 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes70c538.12$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3723357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No24c517.11$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4714323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Yes71c456.79$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.541181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+89.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3fbf…fbcebacked Yes71c399.65$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.773090%27 W · 3 L+8.9wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No15c345.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7917945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No24c250.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.234151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed No28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5615646.2%72 W · 84 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4235958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4855044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed Yes71c183.44$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0154450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed Yes79c167.27$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.894226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked No31c159.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked No22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes77c122.05$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes65c70.05$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4466239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Yes65c68.44$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.196870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc79c…7b27backed No32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dcd…a764backed Yes77c60.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.961936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.621063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.55848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe373…3736backed No23c47.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes71c45.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1348961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd366…88f5backed No32c40.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes74c40.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3148636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes76c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4717652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes74c35.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4930241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked No32c34.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0820427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x998b…db96backed No34c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22224.5%1 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick23cpaid-89.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7026…28d2backed No32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes70c30.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.238,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6216246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed Yes64c20.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.245244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed Yes79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.24557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed Yes78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.44447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes70c15.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25b9…2970backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-60.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4db5…ca02backed Yes71c14.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.252055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.