TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5039…946dbacked No46c1,270$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.221050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0952…a44bbacked No39c1,000$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.918100%8 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+127.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Yes57c970$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5563132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes44c791$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.9148961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x45f1…d904backed Yes54c557.75$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…dcfebacked No54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2303366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No23c441.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6235958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed Yes59c393$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.879743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes54c301$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5416336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7e6…2b17backed No51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes46c299.06$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5712534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No41c242.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2541231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc91e…07ddbacked Yes60c213.93$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10655044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73e3…3239backed No55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x13f5…7049backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11017632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed29…d325backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-75.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes63c148.75$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1682…26cabacked No51c128.68$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.371040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No39c128$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0821944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb67…e62abacked No55c119.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcca4…abb1backed Yes64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6125352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes68c96.71$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.92,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af8…8973backed Yes53c95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.355966.1%39 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Yes49c91.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed Yes78c91.83$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.634226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1eec…5ca3backed Yes60c83.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508966.3%59 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5f8…2f31backed Yes64c81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.84366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x573a…27d7backed Yes61c80.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No49c79.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.521063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8b85…8363backed Yes60c77.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.762450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7566239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed Yes69c74.76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.361546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes60c66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.611636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No46c64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5613148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed No39c62.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed No45c60.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.053158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.413251.5%68 W · 64 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.85549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1500…2105backed Yes53c59.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes77c54.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2630241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb431…82ecbacked Yes57c51.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.341952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed Yes42c51.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2811256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed Yes60c50.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.115244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed No47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.514738.1%56 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes77c48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9611038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8361…9e21backed Yes45c44.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid+71%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc09b…38e2backed No44c44.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3d7…c714backed Yes49c40.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.031478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes45c40.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9648636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x4db5…ca02backed Yes48c38.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.712055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed No39c38.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.443948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa724…cb96backed No62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.263053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed Yes58c32.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.718440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No47c31.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7717652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.942737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No39c29.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.188,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No45c28.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.811,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…c177backed Yes54c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cda…afefbacked Yes51c25.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139043.3%39 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked No48c23.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes64c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4461752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes78c20.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3714739.5%58 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e58…93e0backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c14…8da1backed No55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x018a…9522backed No55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x813f…26ecbacked No55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes62c18.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.