Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b88a207886929f424803dc99cd15ca8bdd8e3e1040c59adeff2f12ef931bf80

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,013 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5f56…348abacked No	55c	816.02$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.58	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a8b…8152backed Yes	42c	357.14$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.14	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No	58c	333.48$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.82	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0046…568cbacked Yes	42c	300$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa0…5a01backed Yes	37c	273.62$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.62	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb922…1d3ebacked Yes	56c	224.9$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.9	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	58c	200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	58c	191.54$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.1	176	52.8%93 W · 83 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4a0dbacked Yes	38c	133$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.46	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…239ebacked Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.05	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	41c	103.25$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.92	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes	41c	77.24$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.57	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	62c	67.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.16	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No	63c	51.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.86	143	23.8%34 W · 109 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No	59c	49.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.49	210	63.3%133 W · 77 L	+27.4wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3b2f…8a03backed Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.32per pick	35cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a33…7302backed Yes	37c	40$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96db…499fbacked Yes	38c	38.34$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.77	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes	41c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed No	58c	29.8$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	42c	25.96$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.06	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed No	63c	24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfec4…cfc8backed No	63c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked No	64c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event