Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7aa347d500cde4da78d35ce2e137a9b8582130960fb9c32d63f87017bd011b5

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,631 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5039…946dbacked Yes	67c	2,547$1,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.54	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x364f…1515backed No	33c	888$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.04	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed No	36c	402.44$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.98	97	43.3%42 W · 55 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No	21c	400$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	31c	400$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	125	34.4%43 W · 82 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked No	34c	292.72$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	204	47.5%97 W · 107 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No	25c	290$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.5	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+3.9wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed No	35c	220.1$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.23	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	29c	172.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.65	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No	24c	120.14$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.83	143	23.8%34 W · 109 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes	63c	100.9$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.33	218	36.2%79 W · 139 L	-19.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed No	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb67…e62abacked No	34c	99.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	32c	99.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.45	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5f62backed Yes	67c	95$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.15	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No	32c	90$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	225	50.7%114 W · 111 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0dc…74f9backed Yes	64c	78.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes	56c	67$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.52	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Yes	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc468…009dbacked No	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfb8…a530backed No	37c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed Yes	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	34c	46.95$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.79	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50dc…16b2backed No	35c	42.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes	76c	26.27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.39	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event