TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Appeal" or "Appealed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed No59c2,598$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.148961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6ae0…7483backed Yes29c1,044$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.16533.8%2 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-79.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes37c900$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes29c653.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6413044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b85…8363backed Yes41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.52450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7455044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8217632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes42c160$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.211439.5%45 W · 69 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55650%28 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+68.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x456a…903fbacked Yes33c148.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No69c135.56$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3125352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes32c99.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9921063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes28c86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4366239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked Yes33c60.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.816358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.813148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1842737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5bc…4e9ebacked Yes41c58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.515942.1%67 W · 92 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c9b6backed Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-66.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Yes33c37.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96db…499fbacked Yes33c35.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.622339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No68c31.71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed No72c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.723850%19 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked No72c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.724045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.648636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5f8…2f31backed No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed No67c15.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58540%34 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.