TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes50c464.7$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7212534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e3…3239backed Yes51c321.55$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.561872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4131…d591backed No23c305.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.55125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes46c221$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3424954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked No48c181.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885064%32 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked No47c114.6$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.368366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9821944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No53c99.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.992,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x456a…903fbacked No49c92.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.348961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3057…7a96backed No48c79.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfb8…a530backed No39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes52c69.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.610454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0711…f03cbacked Yes71c69.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+57.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No49c65.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes42c60.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3114323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec1…0099backed No48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.961758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb696…4367backed No46c50.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.493342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No47c48.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9212038.3%46 W · 74 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes64c46.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8666239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bc6…1f05backed No24c42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…848ebacked No49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed No48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.223741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8251…879dbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.469723.7%23 W · 74 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Yes47c37.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9711746.2%54 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed No49c30.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.993948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No39c29.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.831,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x073e…8416backed No54c29.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80f9…3ab9backed Yes53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes47c26.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.937250%36 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed No49c23.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.338329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes52c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1375729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21eb…a9fdbacked No54c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.342740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes51c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1025352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed Yes52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0254…efdbbacked Yes76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+121.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe5…ad7bbacked Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9975…0192backed Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.