TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x355e…a038backed No30c4,324$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.6424037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No30c2,000$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.022634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes71c1,658$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.0713044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No27c1,494$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.6112534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbf…fbcebacked Yes70c1,385$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.793090%27 W · 3 L+8.9wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8f09…38c3backed Yes60c861.08$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No39c772.68$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.3614323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e3…3239backed No26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes67c499.99$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16334151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed Yes72c481.99$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.463652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0b2…a23dbacked Yes74c400.61$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.161553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4de5…e874backed Yes74c390.33$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.333151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Yes74c386.78$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.785064%32 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked No28c375.47$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.945549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes70c350$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7216336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No22c340.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9321836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes70c335$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7519818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No30c317.76$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5930241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x881e…70f8backed Yes76c234.21$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.212268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No31c228.87$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7617652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5223357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed Yes66c180$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8154450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes69c162.93$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5117945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes72c127.54$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1248961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes75c125.2$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No28c123.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.511,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No26c105.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5517632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2255044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50c0…eb7fbacked Yes66c99.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Yes71c97.21$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.166870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed Yes72c91.83$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.714226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No24c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes57c82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6624954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed Yes76c69.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes77c68.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.115848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bc8…adf7backed Yes72c61.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.431942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed No29c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.088218.3%15 W · 67 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes71c51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7966239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed No30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.758440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53f8…f76ebacked No25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x929a…5ab4backed No32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No27c42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1314739.5%58 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Yes74c40.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.451861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed No27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7362…1e3abacked Yes71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+75.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fdf…336cbacked Yes78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6da…3699backed Yes78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.621063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1165…f10cbacked No26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.122,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed Yes73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.14557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…239ebacked Yes62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yes75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.258540%34 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes78c20.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6261752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Yes72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.65875.9%44 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x018a…9522backed Yes72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed Yes78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.44447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x813f…26ecbacked Yes71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.82759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db5…ca02backed Yes71c19.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.722055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes72c15.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.