TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Bieber" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f56…348abacked No43c381.64$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.617945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No28c380.4$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8912534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f4…8c06backed Yes57c351.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No36c320.81$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.713044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Yes65c305.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes70c304.33$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.291,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14455044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No30c185$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.519818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes62c185$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.724037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No25c131$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6554450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No35c108.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.966239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes67c91.04$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6116854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No34c80$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No35c74.86$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.662,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes68c68.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb3…e68cbacked Yes64c64.51$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid+111.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x018a…9522backed No34c59.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.963951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No32c48.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8223357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes69c41.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.317652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed Yes73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.23158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed Yes71c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.43132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6da…3699backed Yes72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47e8…94f5backed No35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No37c39.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2514323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…deabbacked No29c35.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed Yes71c34.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.561546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e40…224ebacked Yes64c31.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes65c30.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcca4…abb1backed Yes71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.31241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked No38c28.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8820427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe373…3736backed Yes65c26.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a84…0340backed Yes63c23.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b86…25bdbacked Yes64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b71…70f7backed Yes65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes74c22.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.515848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yes70c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.78540%34 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes72c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1261752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a41…2c3ebacked Yes75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed Yes69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.872944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6eb…21b9backed Yes74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes65c19.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7551228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes65c17.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.