TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee03…6edb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
291
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT16854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 168 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+84%+$27.56
Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.05
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$26.34
Will the announcers say "Bieber" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will the announcers say "Giants" or "Jets" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the announcers say "Zlatan" or "Ibrahimovic" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.55
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$155.61
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$76.82
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$141.59
Will the announcers say "Zlatan" or "Ibrahimovic" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$32.12
Showing 25 of 168 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$207.98
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$31.83
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.71
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$167.31
Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.01
Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$185.07
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$79.2
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.59
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$89.29
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104.55
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.2
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38%+$77.58
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$46.1
West Ham vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$79.2
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Brentford vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$299.52
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,722Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+83%+$3,090.74
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$100
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$265
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.1%+$256
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.35
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+62.9%+$354.84
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,936.07
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$241.8
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$350.9
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$119.99
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300.72
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$410
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15,542Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+38.8%+$6,035.21
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$126.45
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$272.91
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$135.16
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$95.2
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$64.2
Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$34.28
Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick68cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.29
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.64
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.9
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.88
Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$39.2
Will Chelsea beat LAFC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$35.27
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+37%+$55.48
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Diallo backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+63.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+124.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+216.5%+$51.81
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$55.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$337.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.