Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd87e464ebbe02eba97aefd3737dce6d8e7d8cba7c2b8055658ecd8c7934f3c2d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,146 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No	29c	4,179$1,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,981.2	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed No	33c	4,159$1,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,803.37	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+3.9wins	+0.35per pick	46cpaid	+89.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5c97…fa05backed Yes	65c	2,714$1,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,775.21	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7026…28d2backed Yes	24c	2,250$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.19	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	28c	1,640$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,187.46	125	34.4%43 W · 82 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No	24c	1,547$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,170.31	233	57.9%135 W · 98 L	+19.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	51c	1,336$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.33	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	57c	1,291$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732.9	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No	19c	1,256$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.59	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x364f…1515backed Yes	64c	1,248$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.72	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No	62c	1,018$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.6	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No	33c	919.6$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.92	143	23.8%34 W · 109 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes	73c	872.13$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.18	240	37.1%89 W · 151 L	-17.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Yes	74c	527.75$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388	50	64%32 W · 18 L	+6.1wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x73e3…3239backed No	26c	499.99$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+4.5wins	+0.25per pick	47cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed Yes	68c	464.53$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.03	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed Yes	75c	427$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.25	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4f4…8c06backed Yes	49c	411.28$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	31c	407$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.56	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4263…edb3backed Yes	73c	400$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de5…e874backed Yes	73c	394.52$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No	37c	390$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.8	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No	49c	355$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.2	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Yes	74c	336$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	72c	299.99$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.99	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57c…7b15backed Yes	73c	273.97$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	63cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6de9…752abacked Yes	59c	254.5$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a9…f9edbacked Yes	28c	249.69$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.1	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eec…5ca3backed Yes	64c	234.38$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	89	66.3%59 W · 30 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes	70c	225.15$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0046…568cbacked Yes	50c	220$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c44…fcd4backed Yes	74c	220$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.8	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes	72c	209.76$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	204	47.5%97 W · 107 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Yes	73c	206.59$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	59cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed29…d325backed Yes	73c	204.55$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.26per pick	44cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8251…879dbacked No	34c	202.96$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.96	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes	66c	200$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Yes	66c	200$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Yes	74c	200$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-7.6wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No	26c	200$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes	64c	200$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5111…8bc3backed Yes	74c	195$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.3	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a33…7302backed Yes	64c	181.25$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6dc…12ecbacked Yes	73c	150$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fff…be78backed Yes	74c	145.63$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.31	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc104…f24fbacked Yes	73c	140$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.2	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	30c	138.42$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.46	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes	73c	130$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.4	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb922…1d3ebacked Yes	18c	125.56$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	73c	113.44$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.69	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes	73c	100$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed Yes	71c	100$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7623…6cb6backed Yes	73c	95.89$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db5…ca02backed No	16c	93.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.75	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	30c	92.91$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.83	176	52.8%93 W · 83 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc412…592dbacked No	72c	87.82$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.69	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No	27c	85.39$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.03	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+7.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No	49c	82.96$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.92	359	54%194 W · 165 L	+20.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f5f…b2f0backed Yes	73c	82$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.86	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	68cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	78c	79$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.9	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	78c	79$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.9	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26bc…6b72backed Yes	68c	73.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	31c	72.83$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.99	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0dc…74f9backed Yes	69c	72.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe27…76b5backed Yes	72c	69.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12bd…aa80backed No	37c	67.57$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.57	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf7…b963backed Yes	74c	67.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ed…00a1backed Yes	74c	67.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	91	39.6%36 W · 55 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a5…3eb7backed Yes	74c	67.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b86…25bdbacked Yes	51c	67.13$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1ee…a180backed No	34c	67$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.22	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a84…0340backed Yes	26c	57.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed No	27c	55.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.56	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Yes	74c	51.88$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.39	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	29c	51.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.51	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed Yes	75c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.64	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes	75c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	67c	49$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.04	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc8…adf7backed No	35c	47.1$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.62	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe373…3736backed Yes	64c	46.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4f…e321backed No	35c	45.02$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.26	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	72c	42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7362…1e3abacked No	26c	40$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	43cpaid	+75.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6da…3699backed Yes	73c	40$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-57%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1165…f10cbacked No	27c	40$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No	30c	36$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	110	38.2%42 W · 68 L	-11.1wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes	73c	31.58$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Yes	71c	30$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b9…5225backed Yes	74c	27.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1fc…45c8backed Yes	73c	26.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d4…3e55backed Yes	50c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked Yes	68c	24.43$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.61	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed Yes	68c	24$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.32	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x302e…88ccbacked Yes	71c	22$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b75…490cbacked Yes	70c	21.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e4…7d32backed Yes	74c	20.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cf…8ad2backed Yes	74c	20.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b68…c0dfbacked Yes	69c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4760…33f4backed Yes	65c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fdf…336cbacked Yes	73c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event