TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52e4…7d32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
240
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Movies at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT4862.5%30 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$11.46
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$11.87
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT4355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$8.28
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$10.36
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+159.6%+$16.14
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+94.9%+$14.23
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+101%+$10.1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.92
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+73.7%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$39.86
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or higher on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+39.6%+$9.89
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$33.65
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.5%+$13.27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on January 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$31.82
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.34
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$10.35
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$14.08
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$89.46
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+390.6%+$507.84
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+29.2%+$5.78
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$56.7
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$84.7
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$103.86
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$104.46
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$85.34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+55.5%+$123.69
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$94.83
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+766.8%+$1,533.69
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$202
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+588.2%+$1,176.31
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+28.6%+$57.28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+426.3%+$733.26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.16
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$33
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+47.1%+$15.53
Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+100%+$42.5
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+52.4%+$43.2
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+66.3%+$71.85
Hawks vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$37.69
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+83.1%+$51.33
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$122.67
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$183.66
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$22.64
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$88.86
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+126.3%+$661.53
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+85.6%+$464.7
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.28
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.86
Will Donald Trump say "Hanukkah" or "Chanukah" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.48
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Will Trump say "Communist" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.88
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18.56
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$201
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$201.6
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+63.9%+$21.44
Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$29.61
Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+57.2%+$18.88
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.79
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+47.9%+$9.72
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+32.5%+$6.49
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$26.24
Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$28.77
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$154.97
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,677Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+158.2%+$2,652.69
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+33.3%+$82.32
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+36%+$161.81
Will Trump say "King" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53.6%+$26.82
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+48.6%+$24.09
Will Trump say "Google" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$97.22
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+104.6%+$106.45
Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+74.4%+$71.26
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+55.4%+$11.91
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$124.62
Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Powell say "Recession" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+44.3%+$62.21
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$37.23
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.09
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+30.3%+$18.6
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.36
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,717Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$795.04
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$255.67
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$53.33
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$25.26
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+41.7%+$161.54
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick74cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$76.07
Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+97.6%+$25.97
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+62.7%+$12.54
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.96
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25.2%+$18.72
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$23.76
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,514Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$817.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 7.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Copshop" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (February 10)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.27
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$57.08
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$28.54
All 8 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick76cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.1
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.11
Dolphins vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EA say "Player Engagement" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$263.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,559Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.9%+$716.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$28.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,251Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.1%+$654.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.