Fed Rates · resolved market
Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae1c480dfb891602df290a411d575e6b57312b2a2bb96c23e90750389f65eba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 24c | 745.39$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.89 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d63…d39ebacked No | 47c | 685$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…268abacked No | 45c | 680$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5951…6c98backed No | 46c | 672$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…31b0backed No | 45c | 671.2$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…23d7backed No | 45c | 671.1$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…ac08backed No | 45c | 671$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4d…0b48backed No | 45c | 671$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…1ce5backed No | 45c | 671$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…5705backed No | 47c | 671$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ef3cbacked No | 45c | 670.4$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…2360backed No | 45c | 670.4$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b27…1414backed No | 45c | 670.3$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f8…778abacked No | 45c | 670.2$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…fe0abacked No | 45c | 670.2$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…e0f7backed No | 45c | 670.2$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…891fbacked No | 45c | 670.2$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…917bbacked No | 45c | 670$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ee…f581backed No | 45c | 670$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…caf3backed No | 47c | 670$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf803…649ebacked No | 45c | 670$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecf…216bbacked No | 45c | 670$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…5626backed No | 46c | 670$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…e6c7backed No | 45c | 669.9$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…3365backed No | 45c | 669$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…5bbfbacked No | 76c | 658.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 53c | 649.35$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.63 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 63c | 548.1$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.25 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ee…4e39backed Yes | 42c | 416.47$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 68c | 336.64$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…19bbbacked Yes | 32c | 316.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 38c | 286.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3a4cbacked No | 69c | 274$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 38c | 250.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…c1a0backed No | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 53c | 242.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…3f2cbacked Yes | 55c | 205$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 49c | 202.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 61c | 200.36$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed No | 57c | 167.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 45c | 145.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 53c | 139.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 60c | 138$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 11c | 135.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed No | 44c | 130.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…4542backed Yes | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 53c | 114.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 38c | 113.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…fa0fbacked Yes | 44c | 110.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c8…5ababacked No | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…dadfbacked Yes | 51c | 101$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…22aebacked No | 52c | 101$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3358…617fbacked No | 53c | 100.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…24b5backed Yes | 51c | 100.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2569…1d90backed Yes | 53c | 100.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…844fbacked No | 54c | 100.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…be8fbacked No | 53c | 100.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…cc4ebacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1035…e881backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7374backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dda…a8b4backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87c…0de1backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…005abacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…0e53backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4266backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…4eb2backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…8529backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef36…3e1dbacked No | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5ffabacked Yes | 51c | 99.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c98…4bd9backed Yes | 51c | 99.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…ee97backed Yes | 51c | 99.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…58f7backed No | 55c | 99.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…99dbbacked No | 51c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a2…8443backed No | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…d33bbacked Yes | 40c | 96.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Yes | 33c | 76.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…35c8backed No | 45c | 73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…9422backed No | 45c | 72.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…ba06backed No | 45c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…f8cebacked No | 45c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 34c | 60.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…f82abacked Yes | 44c | 56.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1116…82ebbacked No | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…817cbacked No | 50c | 50.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…dd45backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…5066backed Yes | 37c | 45.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…dbb4backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18b…8324backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 49c | 34.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f56…9302backed No | 68c | 33.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…beb0backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 54c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c42…66b5backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1faa…406ebacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x247d…c55abacked No | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…4b8dbacked No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?this page
- Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Edging" 3+ times during October press conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Mandate" 6+ times during October press conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Meeting" 9+ times during October press conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Possibility" during October press conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Recession" during October press conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Stagflation" during October press conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during October press conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Variable" during October press conference?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.