Fed Rates · resolved market

Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x577fa60f408f087861983225a39397d90293f5f223fe772ab07c2c7fabfa8f13

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 29, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,606 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	13c	5,572$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.45	190	26.3%50 W · 140 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	11c	2,492$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.95	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x788f…19bbbacked Yes	13c	2,321$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	12c	2,260$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.04	86	26.7%23 W · 63 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6b…587cbacked Yes	19c	1,674$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x072a…3e85backed Yes	12c	1,435$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.46	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…e348backed Yes	16c	1,219$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5697…c7bebacked Yes	18c	1,094$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaec0…5a19backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5844…aa7ebacked Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c23…0266backed Yes	12c	909$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.77	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x932b…64c0backed Yes	13c	800$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2574…83dbbacked Yes	13c	764.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-41%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc067…0eb9backed Yes	18c	724.65$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.41	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39b…7364backed Yes	16c	692.46$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes	9c	679.78$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.26	94	14.9%14 W · 80 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…2886backed Yes	16c	631.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes	19c	545.42$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.13	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe180…889bbacked Yes	19c	524.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	13c	483.89$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.23	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3295…ce54backed Yes	18c	474.96$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Yes	10c	449.45$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.94	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52e4…7d32backed Yes	12c	420$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes	15c	416.67$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5548…2a59backed Yes	12c	415.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca26…9b38backed Yes	15c	342.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb59…0a22backed No	80c	315.11$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.02	72	65.3%47 W · 25 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2fb…3758backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd40d…5652backed Yes	13c	308.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a2…5e16backed Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…64a2backed Yes	15c	259.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6736…058cbacked Yes	13c	251.31$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.67	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes	15c	222$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c69…66afbacked Yes	13c	219.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a28…f71abacked Yes	15c	219.69$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.57	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x429d…78b2backed Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d9a…eefdbacked Yes	14c	214.1$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944a…835fbacked Yes	15c	212.56$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.82	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c14…805bbacked Yes	19c	209.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes	15c	200$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	15c	199.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	104	20.2%21 W · 83 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc187…d7d4backed Yes	16c	198.19$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf70…743bbacked Yes	13c	195.54$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…ea3fbacked Yes	12c	184.25$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b5…df63backed Yes	8c	179.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5242…f82abacked Yes	14c	178.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4137…9d8dbacked Yes	6c	170.86$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67cd…5066backed Yes	15c	166.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…ed7dbacked Yes	12c	165$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…215dbacked Yes	18c	163.51$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb376…f6a0backed Yes	16c	160.07$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	13c	154$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	240	46.3%111 W · 129 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes	15c	150$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec4e…d9dbbacked Yes	14c	150$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb63…f516backed Yes	18c	138.94$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1035…e881backed Yes	14c	138.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3946…7ababacked Yes	15c	137.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2055…4542backed Yes	14c	135$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a1…e3d8backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa625…e8aabacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7357…e1f8backed Yes	15c	133$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5025…dd30backed No	80c	120.93$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.19	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+3.1wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+97.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe32b…cb8cbacked Yes	12c	120.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf76c…cb0ebacked Yes	12c	117$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x93c6…90d0backed Yes	17c	115$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	28cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7772…5e17backed Yes	16c	112.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	15c	110.15$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	318	7.2%23 W · 295 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-75%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2069…c7cfbacked Yes	14c	110$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa982…ceffbacked Yes	16c	109.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf312…beb0backed Yes	19c	106.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf14e…86efbacked Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-51%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Yes	20c	101$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd02e…4cf2backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x156b…baa0backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30aa…2bddbacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcc17…f8fdbacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15c7…3055backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e7…ba07backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5b…afe2backed Yes	13c	99.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80bb…e737backed Yes	16c	97.55$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.61	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4c…92c0backed Yes	16c	93.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes	12c	92.3$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x247d…c55abacked Yes	16c	87$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0e…4419backed Yes	14c	80$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…c8c5backed Yes	16c	69.05$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb96…b991backed Yes	18c	65.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e3…7065backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee2b…a2cdbacked Yes	16c	61.94$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4a…2204backed Yes	19c	59.65$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a0…2f88backed Yes	21c	59$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…cda9backed Yes	20c	50.56$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed No	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	+9.6wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e73…6697backed No	74c	17.31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event