TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93c6…90d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+90.8%+$90.75
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Stars vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Avalanche vs. Sharksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$166
Flames vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Red Wings vs. Ducksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.93
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.44
Rangers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Canucks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Flames vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+72%+$215.98
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Stars vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+88.9%+$355.56
Rangers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Utah vs. Oilersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.92
Jets vs. Wildbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+114.3%+$160
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.4
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Flames vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$138.67
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+128.6%+$89.91
Utah vs. Jetsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+112.1%+$224.17
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Hurricanes vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70.68
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+193.4%+$193.39
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.18
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$286
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$423.74
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.4%+$365.24
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$159.84
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.21
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+96.5%+$99.94
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$402.44
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$76.16
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+116.7%+$273.1
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+123.6%+$197.84
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,239.13
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$303.78
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+115.2%+$230.4
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$423
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+108.4%+$676.19
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$382.22
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$295.29
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+98.5%+$484.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+341.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+526.9%+$526.94
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+155.6%+$551.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+300%+$215.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$123.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.