TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,058,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,226,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,058,929 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,033 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5afb…4511backed Pelicans38c550,763$210,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210,664.45540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Pelicans40c312,461$124,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124,273.4115443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Spurs61c249,358$152,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,249.667255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Pelicans39c206,972$80,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,719.1447848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Spurs60c121,289$72,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,505.18843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Spurs61c120,000$73,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,30020253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Spurs62c104,925$64,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,208.0636148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs66c97,442$64,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,925.7185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Spurs62c80,000$49,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,299.915149%25 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Spurs60c62,374$37,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,178.328744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Spurs62c40,899$25,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,629.7571052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Spurs61c35,000$21,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,65038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Spurs62c28,000$17,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,64020352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs62c26,890$16,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,227.92,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Spurs61c25,000$15,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,7507149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576d…767dbacked Pelicans39c25,000$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,749.992245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans39c23,517$9,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,171.662,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pelicans23c22,122$5,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,068.9381529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans40c22,000$8,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,749.6374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans35c19,462$6,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,813.961,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Spurs61c16,344$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,344.2817441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Spurs62c15,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pelicans38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9935235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Spurs61c14,570$8,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,682.4911558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Spurs61c12,500$7,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8757748.1%37 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Spurs61c12,295$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,795.0816251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pelicans13c11,016$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.371,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pelicans38c10,500$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.9834645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Pelicans0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010147.5%48 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Spurs61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9006152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Spurs61c9,938$6,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,875.8714856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans34c8,824$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Pelicans39c8,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.9320248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Spurs63c7,905$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,906.427142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Pelicans38c7,900$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0206155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b2…a469backed Pelicans28c7,654$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.381471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Spurs40c7,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2004037.5%15 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.19per pick19cpaid+241.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xedff…7218backed Pelicans60c7,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Pelicans50c6,841$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.1547448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs79c6,319$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.7934062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs60c6,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc4f…1c0bbacked Spurs77c5,688$4,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-56.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Spurs72c5,117$3,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.747144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pelicans38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.831,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Pelicans37c4,500$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.994252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Spurs69c4,481$3,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.162755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Spurs64c4,437$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.1544459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Pelicans34c4,434$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.8116446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Spurs60c4,399$2,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.594553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4064517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Pelicans39c3,819$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.7930053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Spurs69c3,373$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.98036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf166…b79abacked Spurs62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.81966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x263b…cac0backed Spurs62c3,219$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.351464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Pelicans27c3,157$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86729037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Pelicans35c3,135$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.315246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Spurs62c3,100$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17425143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Spurs62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Spurs35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95012334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d2…86fdbacked Spurs62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1401258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Pelicans38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1407342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa15b…252ebacked Spurs66c2,823$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.282343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Pelicans36c2,694$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.6719249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Spurs62c2,580$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.427051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Spurs61c2,551$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.3569852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs61c2,549$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.659,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b8…be4cbacked Spurs62c2,425$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.151376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans30c2,410$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.162,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f02…2d67backed Spurs62c2,400$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…3dc8backed Pelicans39c2,400$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pelicans37c2,200$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Spurs62c2,181$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.866953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Spurs67c2,123$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.852254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Spurs62c2,055$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.7561851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Spurs59c2,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83022243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Pelicans45c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89022845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Spurs65c2,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7103933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans42c1,966$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.8185344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Spurs62c1,935$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.484348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed Spurs59c1,907$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.5811149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans31c1,858$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.951,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Spurs61c1,849$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.894843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Spurs59c1,848$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.7680146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Pelicans25c1,835$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.7659743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pelicans38c1,726$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.662,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Pelicans40c1,695$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67847751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Spurs60c1,641$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.5812941.1%53 W · 76 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs69c1,592$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.648,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ac…e951backed Pelicans40c1,538$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Pelicans38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57020453.9%110 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Spurs61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5854951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked Spurs62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Spurs62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5703237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Spurs60c1,499$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.655942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans28c1,428$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.643,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Spurs64c1,406$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.2517540.6%71 W · 104 L-0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans35c1,325$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4645,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Pelicans39c1,309$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51124151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.