TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x235e…5673

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
577
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: MLB, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 61 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT25143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 251 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$479
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$455
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.6
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,443Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+774.8%+$26,677.04
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$8,513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,513.32
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$212
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$959.04
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.6
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.68
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$138
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+204.1%+$338.89
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.25
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$2,686.78
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.99
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$1,640
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.77
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.2
Showing 25 of 251 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT6160.7%37 W · 24 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$278.57
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.8
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$558
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$670
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$810
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$279.99
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.5
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$852
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,436Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$957.22
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.25
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.19
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$596
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.59
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$1,612.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,123.5
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.5
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.5
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$645
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$620
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$929.99
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+101%+$502.5
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55%+$284
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,160
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.91
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$61.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.69
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$271.9
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.08
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
Will Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$70.71
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.85
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.24
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$349.91
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$295
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,760
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$144
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+51.9%+$37.6
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.51
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$707.14
Will Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.82
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.08
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.15
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.43
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.65
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+525%+$79.77
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$40.24
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+258.3%+$237.9
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$336
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
All 22 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+257.4%+$720.19
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$689.99
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$1,010.6
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.98
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,158.68
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$611
Wimbledon ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jaume Munarbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brescia: Kathinka von Deichmann vs Anastasiia Sobolievabacked Anastasiia Sobolieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$214.99
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$362
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$621
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,600
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Wuning 2: Jie Cui vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Jie Cui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.19
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Daria Kasatkina vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$36.18
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+29.9%+$18.4
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Clement Taburbacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,306
Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.31
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$238.77
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.95
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.65
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$22
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+249.7%+$1,792.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,615.97
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,986
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,274.25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$8,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,923.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.98
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$769
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,044Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$1,575.8
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.6
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$78.33
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$252
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$512
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.4
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,096.43
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$5,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$5,888.29
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$617
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$175
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+189.2%+$71.31
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.74
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.99
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$172
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$868.4
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.99
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$194.5
Will Red Bull finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+212.5%+$27.63
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+110.8%+$77.56
Will Ferrari finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.67
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$67.06
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$18.32
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Penguins vs. Sharksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanxi Loongs vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.96
Ningbo Rockets vs. Jilin Northeast Tigersbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rice vs. Charlottebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+80.3%+$8.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$1,322.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,899.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.